Consumer cyclicals in 2026 balance resilient spending against tighter financing. Strong labor markets support demand, but weak affordability and trade-down behavior pressure parts of retail, autos, and housing.
Dominated by discretionary giants Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, cyclical stocks trade at a 24x Forward P/E. This dashboard tracks valuation trends, equal-weight performance, and sector component data across all 1,000+ retail and auto stocks.
Sector Market Cap
$6.73T
Tracks 558 stocks · top 50 by market cap
Median YTD Return
-0.3%
Screener universe · median stock return
Median P/E
27.5x
Screener stocks · excludes outliers
Median Dividend Yield
1.16%
Screener stocks · excludes zeros
Sector Screener
Scan the sector leaders, compare valuations and fundamentals, then open the full screener to refine your criteria.
| Ticker | Company | Price | Mkt Cap | P/E | ROE | Div Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc. | $245.98 | $2.65T | 34.3 | 22.3% | — | ||
| Tesla, Inc. | $402.90 | $1.51T | 373.1 | 4.8% | — | ||
| The Home Depot, Inc. | $345.21 | $343.84B | 24.3 | 145.5% | 2.7% | ||
| Toyota Motor Corporation | $179.43 | $233.86B | 9.3 | 10.5% | 3.5% | ||
| Alibaba Group Holding Limited | $98.14 | $229.03B | 15.2 | 9.4% | 2.1% | ||
| McDonald's Corporation | $282.21 | $200.51B | 23.6 | — | 2.5% | ||
| The TJX Companies, Inc. | $154.11 | $170.57B | 31.6 | 59.1% | 1.1% | ||
| Booking Holdings Inc. | $181.95 | $140.99B | 27.5 | — | 0.8% | ||
| Lowe's Companies, Inc. | $220.90 | $123.86B | 18.6 | — | 2.1% | ||
| Starbucks Corporation | $103.61 | $118.08B | 63.6 | — | 2.3% | ||
| PDD Holdings Inc. | $82.53 | $117.47B | 8.6 | 26.9% | — | ||
| Marriott International, Inc. | $380.75 | $100.4B | 40.1 | — | 0.7% | ||
| MercadoLibre, Inc. | $1813.61 | $91.94B | 46.0 | 36% | — | ||
| Airbnb, Inc. | $148.80 | $88.31B | 36.9 | 30.2% | — | ||
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $341.12 | $77.66B | 55.7 | — | 0.2% | ||
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | $282.26 | $76.36B | 18.1 | 47.5% | 0.3% | ||
| Carvana Co. | $67.47 | $73.14B | 39.9 | 50.4% | — | ||
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $86.65 | $72.5B | 29.2 | — | — | ||
| Ross Stores, Inc. | $214.67 | $69.43B | 32.5 | 36.7% | 0.8% | ||
| General Motors Company | $76.03 | $68.55B | 23.3 | 4.2% | 0.9% | ||
| Ferrari N.V. | $386.99 | $68.31B | 37.8 | 42.8% | 1.8% | ||
| NIKE, Inc. | $43.21 | $63.94B | 20.0 | 23.3% | 3.6% | ||
| Sea Limited | $104.23 | $63.84B | 41.4 | 14.9% | — | ||
| Ford Motor Company | $13.57 | $53.18B | -6.6 | -20.2% | 5.5% | ||
| eBay Inc. | $114.71 | $52.42B | 26.4 | 41.6% | 1% | ||
| AutoZone, Inc. | $3074.86 | $50.33B | 21.2 | — | — | ||
| Yum! Brands, Inc. | $167.49 | $46.3B | 30.1 | — | 1.7% | ||
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $34.35 | $44.74B | 30.1 | 47.4% | — | ||
| Viking Holdings Ltd | $100.01 | $44.43B | 38.9 | 254.3% | — | ||
| D.R. Horton, Inc. | $155.72 | $44.16B | 13.5 | 14.2% | 1% |
Sector Outlook
Consumer cyclicals in 2026 balance resilient spending against tighter financing. Strong labor markets support demand, but weak affordability and trade-down behavior pressure parts of retail, autos, and housing.
Watch inventory discipline, pricing power, and margin protection. Travel and experience businesses may diverge from big-ticket goods and housing-linked names.
The strongest setups combine brand strength and pricing power with cleaner balance sheets than the market initially gives credit for.
Learn
Consumer cyclical, also called consumer discretionary, covers goods and services people can postpone — apparel, autos, hotels, restaurants, leisure, and parts of housing.
The sector is closely tied to income, confidence, and financing costs, making it very different from consumer defensive where demand holds up through slowdowns.
Investors split the group into high-quality brand or platform businesses versus deeply cyclical retailers, travel, and autos. The same sector label can contain both compounders and sharp economic beta.
XLY gives broad large-cap discretionary exposure, but stock selection is often more useful because margins, brand power, and demand sensitivity differ widely.
Key risks: slower spending, higher financing costs, weaker housing, and margin pressure from promotions or input inflation. Leveraged or inventory-heavy businesses are most vulnerable.
Use the screener to compare revenue growth, profitability, and valuation within similar business models. Headline growth alone doesn't matter if margins are unstable.
Explore Further
Retailers, automakers, restaurants, hotels, leisure, and apparel companies. The screener above shows the sector list sortable by size, valuation, and performance.
Explore More
Dive into other sector analyses with performance tracking, valuation metrics, and industry breakdowns.
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Use our powerful screener to filter Consumer Cyclical stocks by market cap, valuation, profitability, and dozens of other fundamental metrics.
Valuation, growth, profitability, technicals
Prices, fundamentals, and estimates refreshed overnight
Bookmark custom screens and track over time
Track the XLY sector ETF performance vs S&P 500. The basket shows equal-weight returns of top 50 stocks by market cap.
Momentum Leaders
Momentum Underperformers
Market Comparison
Against the S&P 500, Consumer Cyclical currently trades at 37.2x trailing earnings versus 34.1x for the broad market. Investors are paying a premium despite the sector showing mixed or lower profitability metrics compared to the broader index.
Valuation
Valuation is broadly in line with the market
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 37.2x | 34.1x | S&P 500 cheaper |
| Forward P/E | 28.7x | 23.9x | S&P 500 cheaper |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.2x | 22.7x | Sector cheaper |
86th percentile; range 22.0x to 39.6x
91th percentile; range 12.1x to 39.6x
Quality
Net margin 10.3% vs 25.6%; ROE 26.1% vs 48.1%
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 10.3% | 25.6% | S&P 500 stronger |
| ROE | 26.1% | 48.1% | S&P 500 stronger |
Income
Sector yield 0.62% vs 0.99%
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% | 1.0% | S&P 500 yields more |
These cards are built from the full sector universe, then ranked by market cap so you can see which pockets are leading, rich, resilient, or dangerously concentrated.
Industry Scoreboard
Use this table to spot heavyweights, cheap pockets, leaders, and genuinely beaten-down areas before opening the detailed cards below.
Specialty Retail 89 stocks | 39.6% $3.6T | Neutral +2.5% median 3M | Premium 18.4x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 1.3% median ROE | Strong 1.2% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Auto Manufacturers 33 stocks | 22.7% $2.07T | Lagging -5.0% median 3M | Fair 6.9x median Fwd P/E | Weak -8.9% median ROE | Average 12.7% rev growth | Broken One-name heavy |
Restaurants 52 stocks | 6.0% $547.09B | Leading +6.7% median 3M | Premium 19.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 6.7% median ROE | Average 5.2% rev growth | Expensive Leader Concentrated |
Home Improvement Retail 10 stocks | 5.2% $475.77B | Neutral +4.1% median 3M | Fair 17.4x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 6.2% median ROE | Weak 4.0% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Travel Services 17 stocks | 4.7% $430.44B | Leading +19.1% median 3M | Premium 15.0x median Fwd P/E | High 23.9% median ROE | Strong 7.6% rev growth | Expensive Leader Concentrated |
Apparel Retail 31 stocks | 3.8% $348.41B | Lagging -1.5% median 3M | Cheap 12.9x median Fwd P/E | High 15.1% median ROE | Strong 4.7% rev growth | Beaten Down One-name heavy |
Auto Parts & Equipment 54 stocks | 3.2% $288.25B | Neutral +7.0% median 3M | Cheap 12.9x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 3.4% median ROE | Average 5.1% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Hotels & Lodging 12 stocks | 2.8% $250.88B | Neutral +10.0% median 3M | Premium 17.0x median Fwd P/E | High 39.3% median ROE | Strong 7.8% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Homebuilders 22 stocks | 1.9% $171.77B | Leading +18.1% median 3M | Cheap 15.7x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 9.5% median ROE | Weak -7.6% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Casinos & Gaming 31 stocks | 1.7% $152.81B | Neutral +10.1% median 3M | Fair 19.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 8.4% median ROE | Strong 4.5% rev growth | Watchlist Diversified |
Packaging 21 stocks | 1.7% $151.69B | Leading +11.4% median 3M | Fair 16.3x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 13.5% median ROE | Average 7.9% rev growth | Mixed Diversified |
Leisure 34 stocks | 1.6% $149.03B | Neutral +5.9% median 3M | Fair 16.9x median Fwd P/E | Mixed -0.6% median ROE | Strong 3.0% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Footwear & Accessories 15 stocks | 1.1% $100.73B | Neutral +5.8% median 3M | Fair 17.1x median Fwd P/E | High 8.4% median ROE | Weak 4.2% rev growth | Watchlist One-name heavy |
Auto Dealerships 28 stocks | 1.0% $90.73B | Lagging -0.4% median 3M | Fair 12.6x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 4.7% median ROE | Strong 4.8% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Apparel Manufacturing 26 stocks | 0.9% $78.91B | Leading +14.6% median 3M | Fair 16.6x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 6.3% median ROE | Weak 1.1% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Personal Services 18 stocks | 0.6% $50.14B | Lagging -5.6% median 3M | Fair 15.1x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 17.3% median ROE | Strong 3.9% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Home Furnishings 32 stocks | 0.5% $48.93B | Leading +14.3% median 3M | Cheap 15.3x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 4.8% median ROE | Weak -3.9% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Luxury Goods 12 stocks | 0.5% $41.06B | Lagging -1.3% median 3M | Premium 32.5x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 16.0% median ROE | Strong 5.4% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Recreational Vehicles 17 stocks | 0.3% $22.79B | Lagging -1.5% median 3M | Fair 18.0x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 3.1% median ROE | Strong 3.9% rev growth | Watchlist Diversified |
Department Stores 3 stocks | 0.2% $16.11B | Neutral +27.8% median 3M | Cheap 12.0x median Fwd P/E | High 14.4% median ROE | Average -3.8% rev growth | Attractive One-name heavy |
Discount Stores 1 stocks | 0.1% $9.75B | Lagging -22.2% median 3M | Premium 27.7x median Fwd P/E | High 21.1% median ROE | Strong 25.9% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Showing 21 of 21 industries in Consumer Cyclical.
Setup is a quick read of value, quality, growth, momentum, and concentration together.
Earnings Calendar
Earnings reports are the biggest near-term catalysts for sector moves. Track which names report in the next 60 days and size your positions accordingly.
DHI
$44.16BD.R. Horton, Inc.
Tue, Jul 21
GM
$68.55BGeneral Motors Company
Tue, Jul 21
LVS
$30.57BLas Vegas Sands Corp.
Wed, Jul 22
TSLA
$1.51TTesla, Inc.
Wed, Jul 22
PHM
$24.96BPulteGroup, Inc.
Wed, Jul 22
SW
$24.16BSmurfit Westrock Plc
Wed, Jul 29
F
$53.18BFord Motor Company
Wed, Jul 29
CMG
$44.74BChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Wed, Jul 29
EBAY
$52.42BeBay Inc.
Wed, Jul 29
ORLY
$72.5BO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Wed, Jul 29
CVNA
$73.14BCarvana Co.
Wed, Jul 29
HLT
$77.66BHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Wed, Jul 29
RACE
$68.31BFerrari N.V.
Thu, Jul 30
AMZN
$2.65TAmazon.com, Inc.
Thu, Jul 30
CPNG
$33.26BCoupang, Inc.
Tue, Aug 4