Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 47 analysts7.2% Below Target
EAT trades 7.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $187.92.
Current Price$175.30
Average Target$187.92
Target
Current
Low$166.00
Median$190.00
High$210.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E16.3x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio0.24
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+3.5%
(Low)
Analyst Spread23.4%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes EAT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 47 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
EAT Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $187.92, based on estimates from 47 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $175.30, this represents a potential upside of +7.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.52B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $166.00 to a high of $210.00, representing a 23% spread in expectations. The median target of $190.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 25 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, EAT trades at a trailing P/E of 21.1x and forward P/E of 16.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.24 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $193.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $122.07 and $255.31 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+3.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
18.8x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. | $23.4B | $204.50 | $229.64 | +12.3% | Buy | 19.2x | 59 |
 TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.3B | $187.03 | $191.46 | +2.4% | Hold | 29.1x | 44 |
 BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc. | $680M | $7.98 | $8.83 | +10.7% | Hold | 9.1x | 28 |
 DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $7.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
 CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | $3.9B | $77.74 | $65.50 | -15.7% | Hold | 19.2x | 48 |
 BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc. | $1.3B | $60.26 | $41.00 | -32.0% | Buy | 27.2x | 31 |
 MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $200.5B | $282.21 | $345.67 | +22.5% | Buy | 21.7x | 62 |
 YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $46.3B | $167.49 | $178.00 | +6.3% | Hold | 24.8x | 51 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $25.6B | $73.94 | $83.73 | +13.2% | Buy | 18.2x | 44 |
 JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $299M | $15.68 | $16.23 | +3.5% | Hold | 4.6x | 41 |
EAT — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EAT stock.
What is the EAT stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for EAT is $187.92, close to the current price of $175.3 (7.2% implied move). Based on 47 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is EAT a buy, sell, or hold?
EAT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 47 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 25 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $187.92 implies 7.2% upside from current levels.
Is EAT stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 16.2861x, EAT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $187.92 implies 7.2% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can EAT stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $210 for EAT, while the most conservative target is $166. The consensus of $187.92 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $255 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover EAT stock?
EAT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 47 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the EAT stock forecast?
The 12-month EAT stock forecast based on 47 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $187.92, with estimates ranging from $166 (bear case) to $210 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $194, with bear/bull scenarios of $122/$255.
What is EAT's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EAT's fair value at $194 (base case), with a bear case of $122 and bull case of $255. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
What is EAT's forward P/E ratio?
EAT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy EAT stock?
EAT appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $187.92 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do EAT price targets vary so much?
EAT analyst price targets range from $166 to $210, a 23% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $187.92 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $122-$255 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
Intrinsic Valuation
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
Check Valuation
Historical Returns
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Calculate
DCA Calculator
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Run Numbers
Peer Comparison
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.
Compare