22.5% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for MCD is $345.67, representing 22.5% upside from the current price of $282.21. With 62 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

MCD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 62 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 36 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $345.67 implies 22.5% upside from current levels.

MCD trades at a forward P/E of 21.733x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $345.67 (22.5% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $385 for MCD, while the most conservative target is $305. The consensus of $345.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $376 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MCD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 62 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 36 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MCD stock forecast based on 62 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $345.67, with estimates ranging from $305 (bear case) to $385 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $286, with bear/bull scenarios of $180/$376.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MCD's fair value at $286 (base case), with a bear case of $180 and bull case of $376. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.

MCD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MCD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $345.67 price target (22.5% upside). 36 of 62 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MCD analyst price targets range from $305 to $385, a 23% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $345.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $180-$376 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.