Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 41 analysts5.6% Above Target
JACK trades 5.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $16.23.
Current Price$17.20
Average Target$16.23
Target
Current
Low$12.00
Median$15.00
High$23.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E5.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+84.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread67.8%
(Wide Disagreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes JACK achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 5.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 41 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
JACK Price Target Analysis
Updated July 6, 2026As of July 6, 2026, Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $16.23, based on estimates from 41 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $17.20, this represents a potential downside of -5.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $328M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.00 to a high of $23.00, representing a 68% spread in expectations. The median target of $15.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,25 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, JACK trades at a trailing P/E of -4.1x and forward P/E of 5.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +84.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $55.74, with bear and bull scenarios of $35.12 and $73.44 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+15.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
24.0x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WENThe Wendy's Company | $1.6B | $8.60 | $7.95 | -7.6% | Hold | 15.0x | 51 |
 RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | $132M | $7.15 | $8.00 | +11.9% | Hold | — | 38 |
 SHAKShake Shack Inc. | $2.3B | $56.47 | $90.58 | +60.4% | Buy | 49.2x | 37 |
 FRSHFreshworks Inc. | $2.9B | $10.34 | $11.63 | +12.5% | Buy | 16.6x | 18 |
 MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $199.4B | $280.63 | $345.67 | +23.2% | Buy | 21.6x | 62 |
 QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $25.9B | $74.79 | $83.73 | +12.0% | Buy | 18.4x | 44 |
 YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $45.5B | $164.73 | $178.00 | +8.1% | Hold | 24.4x | 51 |
 PZZAPapa John's International, Inc. | $1.2B | $35.82 | $38.00 | +6.1% | Buy | 24.2x | 32 |
 DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc. | $10.4B | $311.66 | $418.13 | +34.2% | Buy | 16.2x | 52 |
 TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.8B | $194.28 | $191.46 | -1.5% | Hold | 30.2x | 44 |
JACK — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying JACK stock.
What is the JACK stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for JACK is $16.23, -5.6% from its current price of $17.2. The below-market target from 41 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is JACK a buy, sell, or hold?
JACK has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 25 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $16.23 implies -5.6% downside from current levels.
Is JACK stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 5.0474x, JACK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $16.23 implies -5.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can JACK stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $23 for JACK, while the most conservative target is $12. The consensus of $16.23 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $73 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover JACK stock?
JACK is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 41 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the JACK stock forecast?
The 12-month JACK stock forecast based on 41 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16.23, with estimates ranging from $12 (bear case) to $23 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $35/$73.
What is JACK's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates JACK's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $35 and bull case of $73. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
What is JACK's forward P/E ratio?
JACK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy JACK stock?
Analysts are cautious on JACK, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $16.23 (-5.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do JACK price targets vary so much?
JACK analyst price targets range from $12 to $23, a 68% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16.23 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $35-$73 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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