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PBFPBF Energy Inc.
$48.46$5.7B
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PBF logo

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 26 analysts

10.8% Above Target

PBF trades 10.8% above Wall Street's consensus target of $43.25.

Current Price$48.46
Average Target$43.25
Target
Current
Low$34.00
Median$45.00
High$49.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E6.5x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+102.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread34.7%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$48.46
Consensus$43.25
High$49.00
Low$34.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes PBF achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 6.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 26 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 26 published analyst recommendations for PBF

62% hold / mixed conviction
-4
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 26 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage26 Analysts
Net Score-4
Bull / Bear15% / 23%
Strong Buy00%
Buy415%
Hold1662%
Sell623%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
415%
Hold
1662%
Sell
623%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix15% Buy · 62% Hold · 23% Sell
Buy (4)Hold (16)Sell (6)

PBF Price Target Analysis

Updated July 8, 2026

As of July 8, 2026, PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $43.25, based on estimates from 26 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $48.46, this represents a potential downside of -10.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.73B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $34.00 to a high of $49.00, representing a 35% spread in expectations. The median target of $45.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, PBF trades at a trailing P/E of -34.9x and forward P/E of 6.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +102.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $9.62, with bear and bull scenarios of $6.06 and $12.67 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+2.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.4x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
VLO logo
VLOValero Energy Corporation
$79.6B$266.22$257.38
-3.3%
Buy9.2x37
MPC logo
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$77.8B$266.33$259.38
-2.6%
Buy8.7x33
PSX logo
PSXPhillips 66
$71.7B$178.84$181.11
+1.3%
Buy10.0x35
DK logo
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$3.2B$52.32$47.00
-10.2%
Hold10.2x26
CVI logo
CVICVR Energy, Inc.
$2.9B$28.65$33.33
+16.3%
Hold35.5x18
PARR logo
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$3.0B$61.46$67.60
+10.0%
Buy4.4x17
CLMT logo
CLMTCalumet, Inc.
$3.2B$37.17$31.00
-16.6%
Hold—23
DINO logo
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation
$13.3B$73.94$71.67
-3.1%
Buy8.1x16
XOM logo
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$587.1B$141.65$170.08
+20.1%
Hold12.9x55
CVX logo
CVXChevron Corporation
$346.4B$173.94$200.75
+15.4%
Buy12.3x53

PBF — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PBF stock.

What is the PBF stock price target for 2026?

PBF's consensus price target is $43.25, -10.8% below the current price of $48.46. The 26 analysts tracking PBF see downside risk at present valuations.

Is PBF a buy, sell, or hold?

PBF has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 26 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 6 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $43.25 implies -10.8% downside from current levels.

Is PBF stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 6.5313x, PBF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $43.25 implies -10.8% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can PBF stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $49 for PBF, while the most conservative target is $34. The consensus of $43.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $13 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover PBF stock?

PBF is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 26 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the PBF stock forecast?

The 12-month PBF stock forecast based on 26 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $43.25, with estimates ranging from $34 (bear case) to $49 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $10, with bear/bull scenarios of $6/$13.

What is PBF's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates PBF's fair value at $10 (base case), with a bear case of $6 and bull case of $13. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.

What is PBF's forward P/E ratio?

PBF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy PBF stock?

Analysts are cautious on PBF, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $43.25 (-10.8% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do PBF price targets vary so much?

PBF analyst price targets range from $34 to $49, a 35% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $43.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $6-$13 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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