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DINOHF Sinclair Corporation
$73.94$13.3B
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DINO logo

HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 16 analysts

3.1% Above Target

DINO trades 3.1% above Wall Street's consensus target of $71.67.

Current Price$73.94
Average Target$71.67
Target
Current
Low$53.00
Median$78.00
High$81.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E8.1x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+33.8%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread39.1%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$73.94
Consensus$71.67
High$81.00
Low$53.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes DINO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 8.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 16 published analyst recommendations for DINO

38% hold / mixed conviction
+28
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 16 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage16 Analysts
Net Score+28
Bull / Bear56% / 6%
Strong Buy16%
Buy850%
Hold638%
Sell16%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
16%
Buy
850%
Hold
638%
Sell
16%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix56% Buy · 38% Hold · 6% Sell
Buy (9)Hold (6)Sell (1)

DINO Price Target Analysis

Updated July 8, 2026

As of July 8, 2026, HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $71.67, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $73.94, this represents a potential downside of -3.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.33B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $53.00 to a high of $81.00, representing a 39% spread in expectations. The median target of $78.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, DINO trades at a trailing P/E of 23.8x and forward P/E of 8.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +33.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $115.63, with bear and bull scenarios of $72.85 and $152.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
-0.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.7x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
VLO logo
VLOValero Energy Corporation
$79.6B$266.22$257.38
-3.3%
Buy9.2x37
PSX logo
PSXPhillips 66
$71.7B$178.84$181.11
+1.3%
Buy10.0x35
MPC logo
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$77.8B$266.33$259.38
-2.6%
Buy8.7x33
PBF logo
PBFPBF Energy Inc.
$5.7B$48.46$43.25
-10.8%
Hold6.5x26
DK logo
DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.
$3.2B$52.32$47.00
-10.2%
Hold10.2x26
PARR logo
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$3.0B$61.46$67.60
+10.0%
Buy4.4x17
CLMT logo
CLMTCalumet, Inc.
$3.2B$37.17$31.00
-16.6%
Hold—23
CVI logo
CVICVR Energy, Inc.
$2.9B$28.65$33.33
+16.3%
Hold35.5x18
TRGP logo
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.
$58.8B$273.81$276.67
+1.0%
Buy25.3x34
KMI logo
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.
$72.3B$32.49$36.67
+12.9%
Hold22.1x34

DINO — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DINO stock.

What is the DINO stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for DINO is $71.67, -3.1% from its current price of $73.94. The below-market target from 16 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is DINO a buy, sell, or hold?

DINO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 9 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $71.67 implies -3.1% downside from current levels.

Is DINO stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 8.1121x, DINO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $71.67 implies -3.1% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can DINO stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $81 for DINO, while the most conservative target is $53. The consensus of $71.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $152 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover DINO stock?

DINO is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the DINO stock forecast?

The 12-month DINO stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $71.67, with estimates ranging from $53 (bear case) to $81 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $116, with bear/bull scenarios of $73/$152.

What is DINO's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates DINO's fair value at $116 (base case), with a bear case of $73 and bull case of $152. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

What is DINO's forward P/E ratio?

DINO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy DINO stock?

Analysts are cautious on DINO, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $71.67 (-3.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do DINO price targets vary so much?

DINO analyst price targets range from $53 to $81, a 39% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $71.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $73-$152 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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