Namib Minerals (NAMM)
Valuation Overview•Is Namib Minerals Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 44/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently retains all capital for reinvestment and growth rather than returning it to shareholders.
NAMM struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (20.1% 3Y CAGR) paired with highly explosive earnings growth (224.6% EPS 3Y CAGR).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.2M | -3.8% | +20.1% | — | — | |
| EBITDA | -$2.4M | — | +51.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$5.9M | +2720.0% | +225.7% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.12 | +2692.1% | +224.6% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $81K | -84.3% | -22.8% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | — | 40.4% | 35.9% | 35.9% |
| Operating Margin | — | 19.7% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Net Margin | — | 44.1% | 34.6% | 34.6% |
| FCF Margin | — | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'25Latest | — | $-0.60 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $-0.31 | — |
Total return is -76.0% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -108.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +85.5% | +71.5% | — |
| 1Y | -76.0% | -108.3% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -45.9% | -64.3% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -30.8% | -41.7% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -16.8% | -30.1% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.5x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Namib Minerals (NAMM) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Namib Minerals appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Namib Minerals has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $7.51. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Namib Minerals displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 44/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.1 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9.
Namib Minerals does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Namib Minerals's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -3.8% 1Y revenue growth and +2692.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +20.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Namib Minerals include: -91.6% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (2.16x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 2.16x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.