Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 13 analysts11.7% Above Target
ULCC trades 11.7% above Wall Street's consensus target of $6.50.
Current Price$7.36
Average Target$6.50
Target
Current
Low$6.00
Median$6.50
High$7.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+42.3%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread15.4%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes ULCC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 13 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
ULCC Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $6.50, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $7.36, this represents a potential downside of -11.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.69B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $6.00 to a high of $7.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $6.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, ULCC trades at a trailing P/E of -12.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +42.3% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+15.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
40.1x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SNCYSun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. | $876M | $16.17 | $21.00 | +29.9% | Buy | 20.5x | 11 |
 SKYWSkyWest, Inc. | $3.9B | $97.82 | $115.00 | +17.6% | Buy | 9.0x | 17 |
 DALDelta Air Lines, Inc. | $58.2B | $88.63 | $96.20 | +8.5% | Buy | 15.8x | 44 |
 UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. | $41.6B | $128.31 | $150.20 | +17.1% | Buy | 13.5x | 47 |
 AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc. | $11.4B | $17.20 | $19.06 | +10.8% | Buy | 166.3x | 37 |
 LUVSouthwest Airlines Co. | $24.3B | $49.43 | $50.97 | +3.1% | Hold | 17.8x | 45 |
 ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc. | $5.5B | $49.09 | $64.17 | +30.7% | Buy | — | 28 |
 BAThe Boeing Company | $182.6B | $231.68 | $281.56 | +21.5% | Buy | — | 54 |
 GEGE Aerospace | $383.4B | $366.98 | $393.00 | +7.1% | Buy | 48.6x | 34 |
 RTXRTX Corporation | $270.5B | $200.85 | $224.33 | +11.7% | Buy | 28.9x | 26 |
ULCC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ULCC stock.
What is the ULCC stock price target for 2026?
ULCC's consensus price target is $6.5, -11.7% below the current price of $7.36. The 13 analysts tracking ULCC see downside risk at present valuations.
Is ULCC a buy, sell, or hold?
ULCC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $6.5 implies -11.7% downside from current levels.
Is ULCC stock overvalued or undervalued?
ULCC's current price is $7.36 with a consensus target of $6.5 (-11.7% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is overvalued at current levels.
How high can ULCC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $7 for ULCC, while the most conservative target is $6. The consensus of $6.5 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover ULCC stock?
ULCC is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the ULCC stock forecast?
The 12-month ULCC stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $6.5, with estimates ranging from $6 (bear case) to $7 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold".
Should I buy ULCC stock?
Analysts are cautious on ULCC, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $6.5 (-11.7% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do ULCC price targets vary so much?
ULCC analyst price targets range from $6 to $7, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $6.5 consensus represents the middle ground.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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