Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 2 analysts139.9% Below Target
TMQ trades 139.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $7.75.
Current Price$3.23
Average Target$7.75
Target
Current
Low$5.50
Median$7.75
High$10.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+68.0%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread58.1%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes TMQ achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 2 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
TMQ Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Trilogy Metals Inc. (TMQ) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $7.75, based on estimates from 2 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $3.23, this represents a potential upside of +139.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $557M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $5.50 to a high of $10.00, representing a 58% spread in expectations. The median target of $7.75 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, TMQ trades at a trailing P/E of -12.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +68.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $0.03, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.02 and $0.03 respectively. Model confidence stands at 41/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+35.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
19.5x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USASAmericas Gold and Silver Corporation | $1.2B | $4.39 | $9.75 | +122.1% | Buy | 22.7x | 4 |
 KOREKORE Group Holdings, Inc. | $182M | $9.24 | — | — | Buy | — | 9 |
 FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $85.2B | $59.27 | $71.69 | +21.0% | Buy | 21.5x | 41 |
 SCCOSouthern Copper Corporation | $141.6B | $169.75 | $159.50 | -6.0% | Hold | 22.8x | 29 |
 TECKTeck Resources Limited | $28.6B | $59.35 | $67.50 | +13.7% | Buy | 12.0x | 26 |
 CDECoeur Mining, Inc. | $10.4B | $16.04 | $27.20 | +69.6% | Buy | 9.3x | 21 |
 HLHecla Mining Company | $10.4B | $15.56 | $23.35 | +50.1% | Hold | 18.5x | 26 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $437.4B | $940.12 | $906.87 | -3.5% | Buy | 38.1x | 56 |
 CMCCommercial Metals Company | $6.8B | $61.58 | $82.33 | +33.7% | Buy | 9.6x | 26 |
 SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc. | $6.4B | $88.51 | $101.00 | +14.1% | Buy | 20.8x | 14 |
TMQ — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TMQ stock.
What is the TMQ stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for TMQ is $7.75, representing 139.9% upside from the current price of $3.23. With 2 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is TMQ a buy, sell, or hold?
TMQ has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 2 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 1 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $7.75 implies 139.9% upside from current levels.
Is TMQ stock overvalued or undervalued?
TMQ's current price is $3.23 with a consensus target of $7.75 (139.9% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
How high can TMQ stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for TMQ, while the most conservative target is $5.5. The consensus of $7.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $0 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TMQ stock?
TMQ is lightly followed, with 2 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TMQ stock forecast?
The 12-month TMQ stock forecast based on 2 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $7.75, with estimates ranging from $5.5 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $0, with bear/bull scenarios of $0/$0.
What is TMQ's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TMQ's fair value at $0 (base case), with a bear case of $0 and bull case of $0. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 41/100.
Should I buy TMQ stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TMQ, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $7.75 price target (139.9% upside). 1 of 2 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TMQ price targets vary so much?
TMQ analyst price targets range from $5.5 to $10, a 58% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $7.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $0-$0 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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