Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 29 analysts6.0% Above Target
SCCO trades 6.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $159.50.
Current Price$169.75
Average Target$159.50
Target
Current
Low$140.00
Median$160.00
High$178.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E22.8x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio1.09
(Fair)
Implied Growth+23.1%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread23.8%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes SCCO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 22.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
SCCO Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $159.50, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $169.75, this represents a potential downside of -6.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $141.63B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $178.00, representing a 24% spread in expectations. The median target of $160.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 11 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, SCCO trades at a trailing P/E of 32.4x and forward P/E of 22.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.09 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +23.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.66, with bear and bull scenarios of $64.68 and $135.27 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+25.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
42.2x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $85.2B | $59.27 | $71.69 | +21.0% | Buy | 21.5x | 41 |
 TECKTeck Resources Limited | $28.6B | $59.35 | $67.50 | +13.7% | Buy | 12.0x | 26 |
 HBMHudbay Minerals Inc. | $8.6B | $21.55 | $30.00 | +39.2% | Buy | 13.4x | 20 |
 NEMNewmont Corporation | $105.3B | $95.06 | $144.88 | +52.4% | Buy | 9.4x | 36 |
 BHPBHP Group Limited | $203.7B | $80.23 | $71.50 | -10.9% | Hold | 15.8x | 31 |
 RIORio Tinto Group | $148.2B | $91.25 | $101.75 | +11.5% | Hold | 10.7x | 31 |
 AAAlcoa Corporation | $12.9B | $49.01 | $72.50 | +47.9% | Buy | 6.4x | 42 |
 MPMP Materials Corp. | $9.0B | $50.49 | $83.00 | +64.4% | Buy | 287.9x | 12 |
 VALEVale S.A. | $64.1B | $14.69 | $17.79 | +21.1% | Hold | 7.2x | 37 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $437.4B | $940.12 | $906.87 | -3.5% | Buy | 38.1x | 56 |
SCCO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SCCO stock.
What is the SCCO stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for SCCO is $159.5, -6.0% from its current price of $169.75. The below-market target from 29 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is SCCO a buy, sell, or hold?
SCCO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 11 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $159.5 implies -6.0% downside from current levels.
Is SCCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
SCCO trades at a forward P/E of 22.7929x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $159.5 (-6.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can SCCO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $178 for SCCO, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $159.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $135 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SCCO stock?
SCCO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 11 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SCCO stock forecast?
The 12-month SCCO stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $159.5, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $178 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $103, with bear/bull scenarios of $65/$135.
What is SCCO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SCCO's fair value at $103 (base case), with a bear case of $65 and bull case of $135. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
What is SCCO's forward P/E ratio?
SCCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 32.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SCCO stock?
Analysts are cautious on SCCO, with 11 Sell ratings and a price target of $159.5 (-6.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SCCO price targets vary so much?
SCCO analyst price targets range from $140 to $178, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $159.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $65-$135 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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