The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 17 analysts8.2% Below Target
SMG trades 8.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $72.25.
Current Price$66.79
Average Target$72.25
Target
Current
Low$63.00
Median$73.50
High$79.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E15.3x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+132.0%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread22.1%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes SMG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 17 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
SMG Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $72.25, based on estimates from 17 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $66.79, this represents a potential upside of +8.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.89B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $63.00 to a high of $79.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $73.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SMG trades at a trailing P/E of 27.0x and forward P/E of 15.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +132.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $27.27, with bear and bull scenarios of $17.18 and $35.93 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+60.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.7x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. | $1.9B | $83.37 | $87.50 | +5.0% | Buy | 15.8x | 21 |
 CENTCentral Garden & Pet Company | $2.7B | $42.79 | $54.00 | +26.2% | Buy | 14.4x | 10 |
 ANDEThe Andersons, Inc. | $2.3B | $68.00 | $82.50 | +21.3% | Buy | 12.8x | 21 |
 AMGNAmgen Inc. | $198.7B | $368.10 | $352.50 | -4.2% | Buy | 16.4x | 38 |
 ICLICL Group Ltd | $6.4B | $4.95 | $6.43 | +29.9% | Hold | 11.8x | 4 |
 NTRNutrien Ltd. | $31.4B | $65.32 | $81.71 | +25.1% | Buy | 11.7x | 33 |
 MOSThe Mosaic Company | $6.7B | $21.12 | $27.36 | +29.5% | Hold | 26.0x | 49 |
 CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc. | $17.7B | $114.92 | $112.50 | -2.1% | Buy | 6.7x | 41 |
 AVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation | $85M | $2.97 | $17.00 | +472.4% | Buy | 7.8x | 13 |
 CTVACorteva, Inc. | $58.2B | $86.75 | $90.88 | +4.8% | Buy | 23.2x | 37 |
SMG — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SMG stock.
What is the SMG stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for SMG is $72.25, close to the current price of $66.79 (8.2% implied move). Based on 17 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is SMG a buy, sell, or hold?
SMG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 9 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $72.25 implies 8.2% upside from current levels.
Is SMG stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 15.3413x, SMG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $72.25 implies 8.2% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can SMG stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $79 for SMG, while the most conservative target is $63. The consensus of $72.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $36 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SMG stock?
SMG is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SMG stock forecast?
The 12-month SMG stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $72.25, with estimates ranging from $63 (bear case) to $79 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $27, with bear/bull scenarios of $17/$36.
What is SMG's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SMG's fair value at $27 (base case), with a bear case of $17 and bull case of $36. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is SMG's forward P/E ratio?
SMG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SMG stock?
SMG appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $72.25 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SMG price targets vary so much?
SMG analyst price targets range from $63 to $79, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $72.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $17-$36 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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