0.6% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for CF is $112.5, -0.6% from its current price of $113.2. The below-market target from 41 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

CF has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 21 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $112.5 implies -0.6% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 6.5904x, CF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $112.5 implies -0.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $145 for CF, while the most conservative target is $72. The consensus of $112.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $213 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

CF is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 41 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 21 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month CF stock forecast based on 41 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $112.5, with estimates ranging from $72 (bear case) to $145 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $162, with bear/bull scenarios of $102/$213.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates CF's fair value at $162 (base case), with a bear case of $102 and bull case of $213. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

CF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on CF, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $112.5 (-0.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

CF analyst price targets range from $72 to $145, a 65% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $112.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $102-$213 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.