PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 44 analysts11.2% Below Target
PHM trades 11.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $144.50.
Current Price$129.92
Average Target$144.50
Target
Current
Low$115.00
Median$147.00
High$162.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E13.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.79
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth-5.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread32.5%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes PHM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 44 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
PHM Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $144.50, based on estimates from 44 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $129.92, this represents a potential upside of +11.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $24.96B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $115.00 to a high of $162.00, representing a 33% spread in expectations. The median target of $147.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 20 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,21 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, PHM trades at a trailing P/E of 11.7x and forward P/E of 13.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.79 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -5.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $145.15, with bear and bull scenarios of $91.44 and $191.25 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+8.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
17.4x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $44.2B | $155.72 | $163.86 | +5.2% | Hold | 14.7x | 52 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $21.5B | $86.74 | $89.17 | +2.8% | Buy | 15.4x | 50 |
 NVRNVR, Inc. | $18.1B | $6693.69 | $7465.33 | +11.5% | Buy | 18.7x | 24 |
 TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $14.4B | $151.64 | $173.88 | +14.7% | Hold | 11.9x | 46 |
 MHOM/I Homes, Inc. | $3.9B | $150.28 | $165.00 | +9.8% | Hold | 11.6x | 10 |
 KBHKB Home | $3.7B | $58.68 | $62.00 | +5.7% | Hold | 17.7x | 44 |
 TPHTri Pointe Homes, Inc. | $4.0B | $46.96 | $47.00 | +0.1% | Hold | 24.5x | 22 |
 TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation | $6.7B | $71.77 | $72.75 | +1.4% | Buy | 13.6x | 31 |
 SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.6B | $82.95 | $93.00 | +12.1% | Buy | 22.0x | 8 |
 CVCOCavco Industries, Inc. | $4.4B | $578.92 | $700.00 | +20.9% | Buy | 24.3x | 2 |
PHM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PHM stock.
What is the PHM stock price target for 2026?
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $144.5, implying 11.2% upside from $129.92. The 44 analysts covering PHM see moderate appreciation potential.
Is PHM a buy, sell, or hold?
PHM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 21 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $144.5 implies 11.2% upside from current levels.
Is PHM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.9929x, PHM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $144.5 implies 11.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can PHM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $162 for PHM, while the most conservative target is $115. The consensus of $144.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $191 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover PHM stock?
PHM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 44 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the PHM stock forecast?
The 12-month PHM stock forecast based on 44 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $144.5, with estimates ranging from $115 (bear case) to $162 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $145, with bear/bull scenarios of $91/$191.
What is PHM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates PHM's fair value at $145 (base case), with a bear case of $91 and bull case of $191. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
What is PHM's forward P/E ratio?
PHM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy PHM stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on PHM, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $144.5 price target (11.2% upside). 20 of 44 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do PHM price targets vary so much?
PHM analyst price targets range from $115 to $162, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $144.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $91-$191 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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