2.8% Below Target

The consensus price target for LLY is $1269.94, close to the current price of $1235.56 (2.8% implied move). Based on 45 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

LLY has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 45 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 33 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $1269.94 implies 2.8% upside from current levels.

LLY trades at a forward P/E of 33.7444x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $1269.94 (2.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1400 for LLY, while the most conservative target is $1135. The consensus of $1269.94 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2161 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

LLY is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 45 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 33 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month LLY stock forecast based on 45 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1269.94, with estimates ranging from $1135 (bear case) to $1400 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1640, with bear/bull scenarios of $1033/$2161.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates LLY's fair value at $1640 (base case), with a bear case of $1033 and bull case of $2161. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

LLY trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 53.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

LLY appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $1269.94 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

LLY analyst price targets range from $1135 to $1400, a 21% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1269.94 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1033-$2161 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.