5.2% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for JNJ is $253.42, -5.2% from its current price of $267.24. The below-market target from 40 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

JNJ has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 40 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 21 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $253.42 implies -5.2% downside from current levels.

JNJ trades at a forward P/E of 23.0857x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $253.42 (-5.2% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $283 for JNJ, while the most conservative target is $208. The consensus of $253.42 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $365 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

JNJ is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 40 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 21 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month JNJ stock forecast based on 40 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $253.42, with estimates ranging from $208 (bear case) to $283 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $277, with bear/bull scenarios of $175/$365.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates JNJ's fair value at $277 (base case), with a bear case of $175 and bull case of $365. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.

JNJ trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on JNJ, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $253.42 (-5.2% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

JNJ analyst price targets range from $208 to $283, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $253.42 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $175-$365 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.