GHM trades 24.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $132.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GHM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 87.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Graham Corporation (GHM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $132.50, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $106.12, this represents a potential upside of +24.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.24B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $130.00 to a high of $135.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $132.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, GHM trades at a trailing P/E of 94.8x and forward P/E of 87.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.42 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $51.39, with bear and bull scenarios of $32.38 and $67.71 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GTLSChart Industries, Inc. | $10.0B | $209.29 | $193.81 | -7.4% | Buy | 30.1x | 37 |
FWRDForward Air Corporation | $414M | $13.10 | $17.50 | +33.6% | Hold | — | 21 |
CECOCECO Environmental Corp. | $2.8B | $78.84 | $105.40 | +33.7% | Buy | 43.3x | 16 |
PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation | $4.7B | $86.97 | $143.56 | +65.1% | Buy | 40.9x | 24 |
ESABESAB Corporation | $5.7B | $94.02 | $138.25 | +47.0% | Buy | 16.3x | 10 |
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc. | $620M | $14.84 | $14.50 | -2.3% | Hold | 11.0x | 9 |
BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc. | $17.0B | $186.08 | $230.00 | +23.6% | Buy | 39.6x | 16 |
HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc. | $2.6B | $80.01 | $82.67 | +3.3% | Buy | 31.7x | 13 |
MTRNMaterion Corporation | $5.1B | $247.20 | $161.00 | -34.9% | Buy | 38.5x | 10 |
LMTLockheed Martin Corporation | $123.4B | $535.38 | $632.89 | +18.2% | Buy | 17.9x | 37 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GHM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GHM is $132.5, representing 24.9% upside from the current price of $106.12. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GHM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $132.5 implies 24.9% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 87.4135x, GHM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $132.5 (24.9% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $135 for GHM, while the most conservative target is $130. The consensus of $132.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $68 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GHM is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GHM stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $132.5, with estimates ranging from $130 (bear case) to $135 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $51, with bear/bull scenarios of $32/$68.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GHM's fair value at $51 (base case), with a bear case of $32 and bull case of $68. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
GHM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 87.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 94.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GHM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $132.5 price target (24.9% upside). 3 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GHM analyst price targets range from $130 to $135, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $132.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $32-$68 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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