Genesco Inc. (GCO) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 21 analysts15.6% Below Target
GCO trades 15.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $38.33.
Current Price$33.17
Average Target$38.33
Target
Current
Low$32.00
Median$40.00
High$43.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E25.0x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-29.7%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread28.7%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes GCO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 25.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 21 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
GCO Price Target Analysis
Updated July 7, 2026As of July 7, 2026, Genesco Inc. (GCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $38.33, based on estimates from 21 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $33.17, this represents a potential upside of +15.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $368M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $32.00 to a high of $43.00, representing a 29% spread in expectations. The median target of $40.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, GCO trades at a trailing P/E of 26.5x and forward P/E of 25.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -29.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.52, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.60 and $38.89 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+36.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
18.3x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc. | $407M | $14.80 | $22.00 | +48.6% | Hold | 7.8x | 15 |
 BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc. | $4.8B | $158.77 | $223.83 | +41.0% | Buy | 21.7x | 29 |
 CALCaleres, Inc. | $398M | $11.79 | $28.25 | +139.6% | Buy | 22.3x | 13 |
 NKENIKE, Inc. | $64.1B | $43.34 | $53.58 | +23.6% | Buy | 28.9x | 71 |
 DECKDeckers Outdoor Corporation | $14.7B | $105.67 | $118.73 | +12.4% | Hold | 15.3x | 56 |
 CROXCrocs, Inc. | $6.3B | $125.78 | $125.11 | -0.5% | Buy | 9.2x | 37 |
 WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc. | $1.4B | $17.00 | $21.25 | +25.0% | Hold | 12.8x | 38 |
 SHOOSteven Madden, Ltd. | $2.9B | $39.71 | $42.50 | +7.0% | Buy | 18.7x | 31 |
 ONONOn Holding AG | $12.3B | $36.87 | $51.30 | +39.1% | Buy | 26.2x | 26 |
 VFCV.F. Corporation | $6.5B | $16.50 | $20.50 | +24.2% | Hold | 20.0x | 58 |
GCO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GCO stock.
What is the GCO stock price target for 2026?
Genesco Inc. (GCO) has a consensus 12-month price target of $38.33, implying 15.6% upside from $33.17. The 21 analysts covering GCO see moderate appreciation potential.
Is GCO a buy, sell, or hold?
GCO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 21 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 16 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $38.33 implies 15.6% upside from current levels.
Is GCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
GCO trades at a forward P/E of 24.9868x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $38.33 (15.6% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can GCO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $43 for GCO, while the most conservative target is $32. The consensus of $38.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover GCO stock?
GCO is well covered by analysts, with 21 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the GCO stock forecast?
The 12-month GCO stock forecast based on 21 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $38.33, with estimates ranging from $32 (bear case) to $43 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $30, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$39.
What is GCO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GCO's fair value at $30 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
What is GCO's forward P/E ratio?
GCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy GCO stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on GCO, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $38.33 price target (15.6% upside). 5 of 21 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do GCO price targets vary so much?
GCO analyst price targets range from $32 to $43, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $38.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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