Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 50 analysts34.9% Below Target
FIVE trades 34.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $237.73.
Current Price$176.25
Average Target$237.73
Target
Current
Low$210.00
Median$235.00
High$285.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E27.7x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio1.15
(Fair)
Implied Growth-19.5%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread31.5%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes FIVE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 27.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 50 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
FIVE Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $237.73, based on estimates from 50 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $176.25, this represents a potential upside of +34.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.75B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $210.00 to a high of $285.00, representing a 32% spread in expectations. The median target of $235.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 29 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,21 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FIVE trades at a trailing P/E of 27.3x and forward P/E of 27.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.15 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -19.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $267.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $168.72 and $352.87 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+12.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
25.3x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc. | $23.6B | $122.65 | $121.64 | -0.8% | Buy | 17.6x | 49 |
 DGDollar General Corporation | $25.5B | $115.43 | $137.89 | +19.5% | Buy | 15.7x | 51 |
 PSMTPriceSmart, Inc. | $5.9B | $191.95 | $83.50 | -56.5% | Hold | 35.3x | 8 |
 GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.0B | $10.21 | $11.00 | +7.7% | Hold | 20.1x | 23 |
 OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | $4.1B | $68.03 | $114.44 | +68.2% | Buy | 17.6x | 28 |
 BURLBurlington Stores, Inc. | $19.9B | $316.12 | $366.29 | +15.9% | Buy | 32.3x | 35 |
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $170.6B | $154.11 | $181.60 | +17.8% | Buy | 32.9x | 53 |
 WMTWalmart Inc. | $889.1B | $111.54 | $139.44 | +25.0% | Buy | 38.4x | 66 |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.6T | $245.98 | $307.77 | +25.1% | Buy | 27.9x | 94 |
 TGTTarget Corporation | $59.2B | $130.29 | $136.80 | +5.0% | Buy | 15.5x | 60 |
FIVE — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FIVE stock.
What is the FIVE stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for FIVE is $237.73, representing 34.9% upside from the current price of $176.25. With 50 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is FIVE a buy, sell, or hold?
FIVE has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 50 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 29 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $237.73 implies 34.9% upside from current levels.
Is FIVE stock overvalued or undervalued?
FIVE trades at a forward P/E of 27.651x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $237.73 (34.9% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can FIVE stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $285 for FIVE, while the most conservative target is $210. The consensus of $237.73 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $353 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FIVE stock?
FIVE is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 50 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 29 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FIVE stock forecast?
The 12-month FIVE stock forecast based on 50 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $237.73, with estimates ranging from $210 (bear case) to $285 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $268, with bear/bull scenarios of $169/$353.
What is FIVE's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FIVE's fair value at $268 (base case), with a bear case of $169 and bull case of $353. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
What is FIVE's forward P/E ratio?
FIVE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FIVE stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on FIVE, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $237.73 price target (34.9% upside). 29 of 50 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FIVE price targets vary so much?
FIVE analyst price targets range from $210 to $285, a 32% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $237.73 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $169-$353 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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