FedEx Corporation (FDX) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 49 analysts2.7% Below Target
FDX trades 2.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $321.35.
Current Price$312.88
Average Target$321.35
Target
Current
Low$160.00
Median$340.00
High$479.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E15.6x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+9.1%
(Low)
Analyst Spread99.3%
(Wide Disagreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes FDX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 49 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
FDX Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, FedEx Corporation (FDX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $321.35, based on estimates from 49 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $312.88, this represents a potential upside of +2.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $74.66B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $160.00 to a high of $479.00, representing a 99% spread in expectations. The median target of $340.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 28 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FDX trades at a trailing P/E of 16.9x and forward P/E of 15.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +9.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $430.80, with bear and bull scenarios of $271.40 and $567.62 respectively. Model confidence stands at 60/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+8.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
35.9x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $23.8B | $202.79 | $220.00 | +8.5% | Buy | 41.1x | 32 |
 ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | $44.8B | $215.51 | $219.31 | +1.8% | Hold | 39.3x | 36 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $11.1B | $416.00 | $453.17 | +8.9% | Buy | 36.5x | 32 |
 JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $25.9B | $275.00 | $239.44 | -12.9% | Buy | 37.2x | 45 |
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $22.7B | $190.95 | $191.82 | +0.5% | Hold | 31.0x | 46 |
 EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $22.0B | $165.74 | $154.17 | -7.0% | Hold | 24.4x | 33 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $414M | $13.10 | $17.50 | +33.6% | Hold | — | 21 |
 GXOGXO Logistics, Inc. | $6.0B | $51.84 | $71.25 | +37.4% | Buy | 17.0x | 18 |
 CEVACEVA, Inc. | $1.2B | $42.76 | $45.40 | +6.2% | Buy | 80.9x | 25 |
FDX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FDX stock.
What is the FDX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for FDX is $321.35, close to the current price of $312.88 (2.7% implied move). Based on 49 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is FDX a buy, sell, or hold?
FDX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 49 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 28 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $321.35 implies 2.7% upside from current levels.
Is FDX stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 15.5885x, FDX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $321.35 implies 2.7% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can FDX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $479 for FDX, while the most conservative target is $160. The consensus of $321.35 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $568 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FDX stock?
FDX is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 49 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 28 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FDX stock forecast?
The 12-month FDX stock forecast based on 49 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $321.35, with estimates ranging from $160 (bear case) to $479 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $431, with bear/bull scenarios of $271/$568.
What is FDX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FDX's fair value at $431 (base case), with a bear case of $271 and bull case of $568. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 60/100.
What is FDX's forward P/E ratio?
FDX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FDX stock?
FDX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $321.35 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FDX price targets vary so much?
FDX analyst price targets range from $160 to $479, a 99% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $321.35 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $271-$568 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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