Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 33 analysts7.6% Above Target
EXPD trades 7.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $154.17.
Current Price$166.81
Average Target$154.17
Target
Current
Low$142.00
Median$153.00
High$175.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E24.5x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio3.11
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+8.9%
(Low)
Analyst Spread21.4%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes EXPD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 24.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 33 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
EXPD Price Target Analysis
Updated July 6, 2026As of July 6, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $154.17, based on estimates from 33 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $166.81, this represents a potential downside of -7.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $22.18B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $142.00 to a high of $175.00, representing a 21% spread in expectations. The median target of $153.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 9 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, EXPD trades at a trailing P/E of 28.0x and forward P/E of 24.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 3.11 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $202.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $127.33 and $266.30 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+6.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
28.5x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $22.7B | $191.27 | $192.24 | +0.5% | Hold | 31.1x | 46 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $446M | $14.09 | $17.50 | +24.2% | Hold | — | 21 |
 GXOGXO Logistics, Inc. | $5.9B | $51.28 | $71.25 | +38.9% | Buy | 16.8x | 18 |
 UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $93.1B | $109.54 | $115.23 | +5.2% | Hold | 15.4x | 45 |
 FDXFedEx Corporation | $74.9B | $313.89 | $321.35 | +2.4% | Buy | 15.2x | 49 |
 XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $24.3B | $207.06 | $220.00 | +6.2% | Buy | 42.0x | 32 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $11.2B | $418.15 | $453.17 | +8.4% | Buy | 36.8x | 32 |
 ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | $45.3B | $217.96 | $219.31 | +0.6% | Hold | 39.8x | 36 |
 HUBGHub Group, Inc. | $2.7B | $44.78 | $44.13 | -1.5% | Hold | 31.2x | 31 |
 ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | $3.0B | $25.23 | $21.00 | -16.8% | Hold | — | 6 |
EXPD — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EXPD stock.
What is the EXPD stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for EXPD is $154.17, -7.6% from its current price of $166.81. The below-market target from 33 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is EXPD a buy, sell, or hold?
EXPD has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 9 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $154.17 implies -7.6% downside from current levels.
Is EXPD stock overvalued or undervalued?
EXPD trades at a forward P/E of 24.546x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $154.17 (-7.6% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can EXPD stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $175 for EXPD, while the most conservative target is $142. The consensus of $154.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $266 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover EXPD stock?
EXPD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 9 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the EXPD stock forecast?
The 12-month EXPD stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $154.17, with estimates ranging from $142 (bear case) to $175 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $202, with bear/bull scenarios of $127/$266.
What is EXPD's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXPD's fair value at $202 (base case), with a bear case of $127 and bull case of $266. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is EXPD's forward P/E ratio?
EXPD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 28.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy EXPD stock?
Analysts are cautious on EXPD, with 9 Sell ratings and a price target of $154.17 (-7.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do EXPD price targets vary so much?
EXPD analyst price targets range from $142 to $175, a 21% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $154.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $127-$266 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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