USA Rare Earth Inc (USARW)
Valuation Overview•Is USA Rare Earth Inc Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market is pricing the stock in line with historical averages, assuming steady-state growth.
Fragile underlying quality score of 26/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently retains all capital for reinvestment and growth rather than returning it to shareholders.
USARW struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| EBITDA | -$15.6M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$156.7M | +206.5% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.64 | — | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$9.9M | +95.0% | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | — |
| Net Margin | — | — | — | — |
| FCF Margin | — | — | — | — |
Total return is -51.8% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -82.4%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -100000000.0% | — | — |
| 1Y | -51.8% | -82.4% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -7.3% | -26.6% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -4.4% | -16.0% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -2.2% | -15.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.4x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about USA Rare Earth Inc (USARW) valuation, health, and returns.
USA Rare Earth Inc valuation is being assessed using available models.
Valuation anchors are currently not available.
USA Rare Earth Inc displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 26/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -2.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -16.4%.
USA Rare Earth Inc does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
USA Rare Earth Inc's current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved N/A 1Y revenue growth and N/A 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for USA Rare Earth Inc include: -97.5% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (2.96x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 2.96x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.