FB Financial Corporation (FBK)
Valuation Overview•Is FB Financial Corporation Overvalued or Undervalued?
Priced at a premium to peer multiples and intrinsic cash flows, demanding strong execution to justify current levels.
Moderate quality score of 57/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
FBK demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($659M) and minimal debt risk.
The company maintains stable top-line performance however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 24.0% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $251.7M | +14.5% | — | — | +16.4% | |
| EBITDA | $74.2M | — | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $57.5M | +5.7% | -0.5% | — | +9.9% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.10 | -3.2% | -3.1% | +7.5% | +1.8% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $29.3M | +11.2% | -42.9% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 63.6% | 60.1% | 73.2% | 80.7% |
| Operating Margin | 24.0% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 23.7% |
| Net Margin | 19.0% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| FCF Margin | 14.6% | 19.8% | 39.9% | 14.0% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $1.11 | $1.12 | +0.9% | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $1.07 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | $1.14 | $1.16 | +1.8% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.96 | $1.07 | +11.5% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.89 | $0.88 | -1.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.85 | $0.85 | +0.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.84 | $0.85 | +1.2% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.80 | $0.86 | +7.8% |
Total return is +23.3% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +3.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +2.2% | -9.1% | — |
| 1Y | +23.3% | +3.1% | +1.7% |
| 3YCAGR | +26.1% | +6.5% | +7.8% |
| 5YCAGR | +8.3% | -2.9% | +8.9% |
| 10YCAGR | +11.0% | -2.7% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.4x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about FB Financial Corporation (FBK) valuation, health, and returns.
FB Financial Corporation is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -51.4% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $27.19)
FB Financial Corporation has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $27.19 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $47.85 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $64.25 (implying +12.8% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
FB Financial Corporation displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 57/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 5.1%.
FB Financial Corporation pays a 1.3% dividend yield, covered by a 31% payout ratio with 8 years of growth, supplemented by a 5.3% buyback yield.
FB Financial Corporation's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +14.5% 1Y revenue growth and -3.2% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 14 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 75% of recent quarters with a 3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +12.8% change from current levels.
Investment risks for FB Financial Corporation include: -17.4% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.74x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.