XPEL trades 15.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $58.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes XPEL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 24.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $58.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $50.05, this represents a potential upside of +15.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $58.00 to a high of $58.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $58.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, XPEL trades at a trailing P/E of 27.1x and forward P/E of 24.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.09 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $60.07, with bear and bull scenarios of $37.84 and $79.15 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. | $275M | $14.54 | $20.00 | +37.6% | Buy | 19.4x | 7 |
LCIILCI Industries | $2.5B | $104.45 | $148.60 | +42.3% | Hold | 11.7x | 14 |
AAONAAON, Inc. | $9.0B | $109.35 | $119.00 | +8.8% | Buy | 48.3x | 5 |
PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp. | $535M | $37.15 | $37.00 | -0.4% | Buy | 12.1x | 8 |
STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $346M | $82.69 | — | — | Buy | 13.4x | 1 |
TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.6T | $419.77 | $443.70 | +5.7% | Hold | 221.7x | 81 |
GMGeneral Motors Company | $70.2B | $77.85 | $93.82 | +20.5% | Buy | 6.0x | 51 |
FFord Motor Company | $54.2B | $13.83 | $14.88 | +7.6% | Hold | 8.3x | 46 |
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $70.5B | $84.24 | $110.64 | +31.3% | Buy | 25.8x | 47 |
AZOAutoZone, Inc. | $48.4B | $2957.71 | $3909.09 | +32.2% | Buy | 19.5x | 45 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying XPEL stock.
XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) has a consensus 12-month price target of $58, implying 15.9% upside from $50.05. The 6 analysts covering XPEL see moderate appreciation potential.
XPEL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $58 implies 15.9% upside from current levels.
XPEL trades at a forward P/E of 24.8597x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $58 (15.9% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $58 for XPEL, while the most conservative target is $58. The consensus of $58 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $79 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
XPEL is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month XPEL stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $58 (bear case) to $58 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $60, with bear/bull scenarios of $38/$79.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates XPEL's fair value at $60 (base case), with a bear case of $38 and bull case of $79. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
XPEL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on XPEL, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $58 price target (15.9% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XPEL analyst price targets range from $58 to $58, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $58 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $38-$79 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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