VIST trades 37.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $85.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes VIST achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 5.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $85.33, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $62.03, this represents a potential upside of +37.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.47B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $74.00 to a high of $95.00, representing a 25% spread in expectations. The median target of $87.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, VIST trades at a trailing P/E of 9.2x and forward P/E of 5.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +66.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.12, with bear and bull scenarios of $64.34 and $134.55 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CEPUCentral Puerto S.A. | $2.2B | $14.86 | $12.00 | -19.2% | Hold | 0.0x | 4 |
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima | $18.5B | $47.13 | $47.50 | +0.8% | Buy | 0.0x | 15 |
GGALGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A. | $8.2B | $51.10 | $60.50 | +18.4% | Buy | 0.0x | 12 |
CRESYCresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria | $689M | $10.62 | $12.68 | +19.4% | Buy | 0.1x | 1 |
VNOMViper Energy, Inc. | $14.9B | $41.62 | $56.56 | +35.9% | Buy | 15.9x | 42 |
CIVICivitas Resources, Inc. | $2.3B | $27.38 | $33.00 | +20.5% | Hold | 6.8x | 16 |
MTDRMatador Resources Company | $6.5B | $52.14 | $70.00 | +34.3% | Buy | 6.8x | 42 |
GPRKGeoPark Limited | $505M | $9.62 | $11.50 | +19.5% | Buy | 7.1x | 9 |
SLBSLB N.V. | $69.4B | $46.42 | $60.85 | +31.1% | Buy | 18.0x | 66 |
HALHalliburton Company | $28.2B | $33.79 | $40.09 | +18.6% | Buy | 14.3x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying VIST stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for VIST is $85.33, representing 37.6% upside from the current price of $62.03. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
VIST has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $85.33 implies 37.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 5.5249x, VIST trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $85.33 implies 37.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $95 for VIST, while the most conservative target is $74. The consensus of $85.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $135 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
VIST is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month VIST stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $85.33, with estimates ranging from $74 (bear case) to $95 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $102, with bear/bull scenarios of $64/$135.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates VIST's fair value at $102 (base case), with a bear case of $64 and bull case of $135. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
VIST trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on VIST, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $85.33 price target (37.6% upside). 6 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
VIST analyst price targets range from $74 to $95, a 25% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $85.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $64-$135 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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