Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (UVE) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 4 analysts5.2% Above Target
UVE trades 5.2% above Wall Street's consensus target of $40.00.
Current Price$42.20
Average Target$40.00
Low$40.00
Median$40.00
High$40.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.1x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.15
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth-32.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes UVE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
UVE Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (UVE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $40.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $42.20, this represents a potential downside of -5.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.18B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $40.00 to a high of $40.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $40.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, UVE trades at a trailing P/E of 6.7x and forward P/E of 9.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.15 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -32.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $48.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $30.75 and $64.31 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+0.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.7x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HCIHCI Group, Inc. | $2.3B | $180.41 | $126.50 | -29.9% | Buy | 10.4x | 14 |
 HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $826M | $27.20 | $36.00 | +32.4% | Buy | 6.3x | 9 |
 ALLThe Allstate Corporation | $64.7B | $251.46 | $250.00 | -0.6% | Hold | 8.3x | 44 |
 TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | $73.1B | $343.73 | $310.40 | -9.7% | Hold | 12.2x | 43 |
 CBChubb Limited | $139.4B | $359.30 | $346.75 | -3.5% | Buy | 13.3x | 43 |
 PGRThe Progressive Corporation | $137.0B | $234.40 | $228.25 | -2.6% | Hold | 13.6x | 41 |
 CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation | $29.4B | $189.06 | $182.50 | -3.5% | Buy | 21.8x | 17 |
 KMPRKemper Corporation | $1.7B | $29.50 | $36.00 | +22.0% | Buy | 14.3x | 12 |
 RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.8B | $323.69 | $310.75 | -4.0% | Hold | 7.9x | 28 |
 AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited | $8.4B | $114.53 | $123.67 | +8.0% | Buy | 8.6x | 29 |
UVE — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying UVE stock.
What is the UVE stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for UVE is $40, -5.2% from its current price of $42.2. The below-market target from 4 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is UVE a buy, sell, or hold?
UVE has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 1 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $40 implies -5.2% downside from current levels.
Is UVE stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.1243x, UVE trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $40 implies -5.2% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can UVE stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $40 for UVE, while the most conservative target is $40. The consensus of $40 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $64 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover UVE stock?
UVE is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the UVE stock forecast?
The 12-month UVE stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $40 (bear case) to $40 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $49, with bear/bull scenarios of $31/$64.
What is UVE's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates UVE's fair value at $49 (base case), with a bear case of $31 and bull case of $64. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
What is UVE's forward P/E ratio?
UVE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 6.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy UVE stock?
Analysts are cautious on UVE, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $40 (-5.2% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do UVE price targets vary so much?
UVE analyst price targets range from $40 to $40, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $40 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $31-$64 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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