TH trades 8.8% above Wall Street's consensus target of $18.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes TH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $18.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $19.73, this represents a potential downside of -8.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.98B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $11.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 61% spread in expectations. The median target of $21.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, TH trades at a trailing P/E of -53.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +56.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1.00, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.63 and $1.32 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MGRCMcGrath RentCorp | $2.9B | $116.31 | $140.00 | +20.4% | Buy | 18.3x | 5 |
WSCWillScot Holdings Corporation | $4.8B | $26.50 | $26.20 | -1.1% | Buy | 24.5x | 13 |
CEVACEVA, Inc. | $1.2B | $44.64 | $45.40 | +1.7% | Buy | 84.5x | 25 |
STWDStarwood Property Trust, Inc. | $6.1B | $16.33 | $19.33 | +18.4% | Buy | 9.7x | 21 |
URIUnited Rentals, Inc. | $68.9B | $1099.68 | $1133.75 | +3.1% | Buy | 23.4x | 41 |
HHyatt Hotels Corporation | $18.5B | $193.48 | $194.92 | +0.7% | Hold | 54.4x | 49 |
CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $4.9B | $107.67 | $110.25 | +2.4% | Hold | 15.2x | 28 |
ASGNASGN Incorporated | $895M | $20.96 | $37.60 | +79.4% | Hold | 5.8x | 13 |
ABMABM Industries Incorporated | $2.6B | $44.40 | $48.33 | +8.9% | Hold | 11.1x | 11 |
HALHalliburton Company | $27.6B | $33.00 | $40.09 | +21.5% | Buy | 14.0x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TH stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for TH is $18, -8.8% from its current price of $19.73. The below-market target from 6 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
TH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $18 implies -8.8% downside from current levels.
TH's current price is $19.73 with a consensus target of $18 (-8.8% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for TH, while the most conservative target is $11. The consensus of $18 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TH is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TH stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $11 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$1.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TH's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $1. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
Analysts are cautious on TH, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $18 (-8.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TH analyst price targets range from $11 to $22, a 61% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $18 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$1 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.