MGRC trades 23.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $140.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MGRC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $140.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $113.58, this represents a potential upside of +23.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.79B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $140.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $140.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MGRC trades at a trailing P/E of 17.9x and forward P/E of 17.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.02 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +1.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $139.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $88.15 and $184.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URIUnited Rentals, Inc. | $66.2B | $1056.02 | $1133.75 | +7.4% | Buy | 22.4x | 41 |
TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.9B | $47.11 | $49.25 | +4.5% | Hold | 28.1x | 34 |
WSCWillScot Holdings Corporation | $4.6B | $25.67 | $26.20 | +2.1% | Buy | 23.7x | 13 |
KFRCKforce Inc. | $994M | $54.40 | $71.00 | +30.5% | Hold | 22.6x | 10 |
RSGRepublic Services, Inc. | $68.4B | $222.46 | $239.29 | +7.6% | Buy | 30.5x | 35 |
GATXGATX Corporation | $6.2B | $174.17 | $220.00 | +26.3% | Buy | 17.3x | 14 |
ALAir Lease Corporation | $7.3B | $65.00 | $65.00 | +0.0% | Buy | 12.8x | 20 |
CATCaterpillar Inc. | $437.4B | $940.12 | $906.87 | -3.5% | Buy | 38.1x | 56 |
DEDeere & Company | $162.9B | $603.61 | $691.58 | +14.6% | Hold | 33.4x | 46 |
TEXTerex Corporation | $4.5B | $68.70 | $82.71 | +20.4% | Hold | 14.0x | 31 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MGRC stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for MGRC is $140, representing 23.3% upside from the current price of $113.58. With 5 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MGRC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $140 implies 23.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 17.8333x, MGRC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $140 implies 23.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $140 for MGRC, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $140 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $184 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MGRC is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MGRC stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $140 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $140, with bear/bull scenarios of $88/$184.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MGRC's fair value at $140 (base case), with a bear case of $88 and bull case of $184. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
MGRC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MGRC, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $140 price target (23.3% upside). 3 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MGRC analyst price targets range from $140 to $140, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $140 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $88-$184 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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