RSG trades 7.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $239.29.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes RSG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 30.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 35 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $239.29, based on estimates from 35 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $222.46, this represents a potential upside of +7.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $68.44B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $223.00 to a high of $255.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $242.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 19 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, RSG trades at a trailing P/E of 32.5x and forward P/E of 30.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.72 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $240.34, with bear and bull scenarios of $151.42 and $316.68 respectively. Model confidence stands at 58/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMWaste Management, Inc. | $95.7B | $237.21 | $258.50 | +9.0% | Buy | 29.0x | 35 |
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc. | $6.2B | $99.01 | $114.75 | +15.9% | Buy | 73.2x | 19 |
WCNWaste Connections, Inc. | $44.1B | $172.93 | $205.58 | +18.9% | Buy | 32.5x | 33 |
CLHClean Harbors, Inc. | $15.9B | $297.93 | $303.30 | +1.8% | Buy | 34.6x | 28 |
NVRIEnviri Corporation | $1.9B | $22.53 | $22.25 | -1.2% | Hold | — | 1 |
CEVACEVA, Inc. | $1.2B | $42.76 | $45.40 | +6.2% | Buy | 80.9x | 25 |
CATCaterpillar Inc. | $437.4B | $940.12 | $906.87 | -3.5% | Buy | 38.1x | 56 |
PCARPACCAR Inc | $65.5B | $124.46 | $128.40 | +3.2% | Hold | 21.9x | 45 |
CMICummins Inc. | $91.2B | $660.14 | $757.91 | +14.8% | Buy | 22.7x | 51 |
DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $13.3B | $26.91 | $35.65 | +32.5% | Buy | 115.0x | 48 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RSG stock.
The consensus price target for RSG is $239.29, close to the current price of $222.46 (7.6% implied move). Based on 35 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
RSG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 35 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 19 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $239.29 implies 7.6% upside from current levels.
RSG trades at a forward P/E of 30.5384x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $239.29 (7.6% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $255 for RSG, while the most conservative target is $223. The consensus of $239.29 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $317 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
RSG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 35 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 19 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month RSG stock forecast based on 35 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $239.29, with estimates ranging from $223 (bear case) to $255 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $240, with bear/bull scenarios of $151/$317.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates RSG's fair value at $240 (base case), with a bear case of $151 and bull case of $317. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 58/100.
RSG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 30.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 32.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
RSG appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $239.29 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
RSG analyst price targets range from $223 to $255, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $239.29 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $151-$317 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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