SFNC trades 3.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $23.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SFNC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $23.50, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $22.75, this represents a potential upside of +3.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.30B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $23.00 to a high of $24.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $23.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SFNC trades at a trailing P/E of -7.7x and forward P/E of 11.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +183.5% over the next year.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.8B | $28.66 | $31.50 | +9.9% | Hold | 11.6x | 19 |
RNSTRenasant Corporation | $3.9B | $42.48 | $38.80 | -8.7% | Buy | 11.3x | 16 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $34.67 | $39.25 | +13.2% | Hold | 17.0x | 15 |
CADECadence Bank | $7.8B | $42.11 | $39.75 | -5.6% | Hold | 12.1x | 20 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $737M | $35.76 | $38.00 | +6.3% | Hold | 10.1x | 7 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.6B | $49.63 | $56.00 | +12.8% | Hold | 11.9x | 10 |
FULTFulton Financial Corporation | $4.6B | $24.23 | $24.50 | +1.1% | Hold | 12.0x | 20 |
UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc. | $6.4B | $46.14 | $47.50 | +2.9% | Hold | 12.8x | 11 |
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation | $4.0B | $76.24 | $79.00 | +3.6% | Hold | 12.2x | 13 |
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | $22.0B | $42.60 | $62.88 | +47.6% | Buy | 6.8x | 37 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SFNC stock.
The consensus price target for SFNC is $23.5, close to the current price of $22.75 (3.3% implied move). Based on 9 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
SFNC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $23.5 implies 3.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.9978x, SFNC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $23.5 implies 3.3% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $24 for SFNC, while the most conservative target is $23. The consensus of $23.5 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SFNC is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SFNC stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $23.5, with estimates ranging from $23 (bear case) to $24 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
SFNC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
SFNC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $23.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SFNC analyst price targets range from $23 to $24, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $23.5 consensus represents the middle ground.
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