OSBC trades 4.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $24.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes OSBC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $24.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $22.99, this represents a potential upside of +4.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.18B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $23.00 to a high of $26.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $23.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, OSBC trades at a trailing P/E of 14.2x and forward P/E of 10.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.89 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +34.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $22.61, with bear and bull scenarios of $14.24 and $29.79 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MBWMMercantile Bank Corporation | $992M | $57.41 | $58.50 | +1.9% | Buy | 10.5x | 7 |
MOFGMidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. | $1.0B | $49.31 | $31.25 | -36.6% | Buy | 13.8x | 8 |
CFFIC&F Financial Corporation | $260M | $80.00 | — | — | — | 7.8x | — |
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp, Inc. | $225M | $23.29 | — | — | Buy | 12.8x | 2 |
MVBFMVB Financial Corp. | $368M | $28.62 | $30.00 | +4.8% | Buy | 17.2x | 8 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $737M | $35.76 | $38.00 | +6.3% | Hold | 10.1x | 7 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $34.67 | $39.25 | +13.2% | Hold | 17.0x | 15 |
BANFBancFirst Corporation | $3.8B | $114.32 | $125.00 | +9.3% | Hold | 15.6x | 3 |
MGYRMagyar Bancorp, Inc. | $115M | $17.75 | — | — | — | — | — |
IROQIF Bancorp, Inc. | $89M | $26.55 | — | — | — | — | — |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OSBC stock.
The consensus price target for OSBC is $24, close to the current price of $22.99 (4.4% implied move). Based on 6 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
OSBC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $24 implies 4.4% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.6042x, OSBC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $24 implies 4.4% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $26 for OSBC, while the most conservative target is $23. The consensus of $24 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $30 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
OSBC is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month OSBC stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $24, with estimates ranging from $23 (bear case) to $26 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $23, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$30.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates OSBC's fair value at $23 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $30. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
OSBC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
OSBC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $24 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
OSBC analyst price targets range from $23 to $26, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $24 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$30 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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