Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 29 analysts1.4% Below Target
MSGS trades 1.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $407.40.
Current Price$401.84
Average Target$407.40
Target
Current
Low$295.00
Median$430.00
High$477.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+62.0%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread44.7%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes MSGS achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
MSGS Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $407.40, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $401.84, this represents a potential upside of +1.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.67B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $295.00 to a high of $477.00, representing a 45% spread in expectations. The median target of $430.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 20 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MSGS trades at a trailing P/E of -432.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +62.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $11.23, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.07 and $14.79 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Communication Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+19.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
44.4x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MANUManchester United plc | $4.0B | $22.93 | $17.95 | -21.7% | Hold | — | 10 |
 FWONKFormula One Group | $23.8B | $95.14 | $115.75 | +21.7% | Buy | 53.0x | 24 |
 BRLSBorealis Foods Inc. | $34M | $1.59 | — | — | — | — | — |
 WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | $66.7B | $26.62 | $30.80 | +15.7% | Hold | — | 32 |
 MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. | $3.8B | $80.89 | $70.67 | -12.6% | Buy | 70.5x | 13 |
 EPREPR Properties | $4.4B | $58.01 | $61.38 | +5.8% | Hold | 19.1x | 22 |
 CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated | $6.2B | $89.64 | $145.00 | +61.8% | Buy | 12.9x | 23 |
 DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $12.5B | $25.26 | $35.75 | +41.5% | Buy | 107.0x | 48 |
 PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc. | $2.9B | $21.39 | $21.86 | +2.2% | Buy | 28.4x | 47 |
 NFLXNetflix, Inc. | $300.6B | $71.40 | $111.83 | +56.6% | Buy | 20.0x | 99 |
MSGS — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MSGS stock.
What is the MSGS stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for MSGS is $407.4, close to the current price of $401.84 (1.4% implied move). Based on 29 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is MSGS a buy, sell, or hold?
MSGS has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 20 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $407.4 implies 1.4% upside from current levels.
Is MSGS stock overvalued or undervalued?
MSGS's current price is $401.84 with a consensus target of $407.4 (1.4% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
How high can MSGS stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $477 for MSGS, while the most conservative target is $295. The consensus of $407.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $15 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MSGS stock?
MSGS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MSGS stock forecast?
The 12-month MSGS stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $407.4, with estimates ranging from $295 (bear case) to $477 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$15.
What is MSGS's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MSGS's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $15. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
Should I buy MSGS stock?
MSGS appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $407.4 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MSGS price targets vary so much?
MSGS analyst price targets range from $295 to $477, a 45% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $407.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$15 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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