MAX trades 18.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $11.17.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MAX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $11.17, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $13.67, this represents a potential downside of -18.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $754M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $11.00 to a high of $11.50, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $11.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MAX trades at a trailing P/E of 35.1x and forward P/E of 13.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +45.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $16.41, with bear and bull scenarios of $10.34 and $21.62 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QNSTQuinStreet, Inc. | $935M | $16.27 | $15.00 | -7.8% | Buy | 13.4x | 13 |
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc. | $2.3B | $37.57 | $38.50 | +2.5% | Buy | 16.4x | 12 |
ACMRACM Research, Inc. | $6.3B | $94.66 | $110.00 | +16.2% | Buy | 47.4x | 10 |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $193M | $4.75 | $8.95 | +88.4% | Hold | 5.1x | 12 |
GOOGAlphabet Inc. | $4.4T | $363.62 | $399.67 | +9.9% | Buy | 25.5x | 79 |
METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | $1.6T | $615.58 | $827.50 | +34.4% | Buy | 18.7x | 65 |
TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc. | $9.0B | $19.18 | $28.60 | +49.1% | Buy | 19.3x | 47 |
MGNIMagnite, Inc. | $2.9B | $20.52 | $19.25 | -6.2% | Buy | 19.3x | 31 |
PERIPerion Network Ltd. | $380M | $9.20 | $13.50 | +46.7% | Buy | 7.8x | 14 |
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. | $1.8B | $11.44 | $13.38 | +17.0% | Buy | 23.7x | 33 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MAX stock.
MAX's consensus price target is $11.17, -18.3% below the current price of $13.67. The 9 analysts tracking MAX see downside risk at present valuations.
MAX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $11.17 implies -18.3% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.4191x, MAX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11.17 implies -18.3% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $11.5 for MAX, while the most conservative target is $11. The consensus of $11.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $22 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MAX is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MAX stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11.17, with estimates ranging from $11 (bear case) to $11.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $16, with bear/bull scenarios of $10/$22.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MAX's fair value at $16 (base case), with a bear case of $10 and bull case of $22. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
MAX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 35.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on MAX, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $11.17 (-18.3% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MAX analyst price targets range from $11 to $11.5, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $10-$22 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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