LITE's 700% rally has been fueled by AI and cloud demand, but strong fundamentals and optical networking growth keep its buy case intact.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock price & volume — 10-year historical chart
Investment Thesis • Updated 2026Q3
the current valuation multiples, including a forward P/E of 99.63, suggest that much of the recovery is already priced into the stock.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) revenue, earnings & EPS growth — 3, 5 & 10-year CAGR
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) EPS & revenue vs analyst estimates — last 4 quarters
| Quarter | Date | EPS (Act vs Est) | Revenue (Act vs Est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026Latest | May 5, 2026 | $2.37vs $2.27+4.4% | $808Mvs $810M-0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | Feb 3, 2026 | $1.67vs $1.41+18.4% | $666Mvs $652M+2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | Nov 4, 2025 | $1.10vs $1.03+6.8% | $534Mvs $526M+1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | Aug 12, 2025 | $0.88vs $0.81+8.1% | $425Mvs $471M-9.6% |
Recent stock market news and headlines for Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)
LITE's 700% rally has been fueled by AI and cloud demand, but strong fundamentals and optical networking growth keep its buy case intact.

Lumentum is expanding its CPO portfolio as AI infrastructure demand rises, with commercial deployments expected to support revenue and earnings growth.

Lumentum (LITE) is evolving from a component supplier to a full system provider, moving up the optical stack and expanding its value proposition. I rate LITE a buy with 15-20% upside, targeting an implied price of $845.66 based on premium industry positioning and margin expansion. LITE's sales CAGR (83.8% vs 23.1% peers, '25-'27) and margin growth support its premium valuation, solidifying its role in datacenter infrastructure.

One of the new congestion points in AI is the speed at which data can be transferred. Nvidia has been aggressively investing in companies that could offer a solution.

Lumentum (LITE) corrected roughly 33% from its peak as valuation excess unwound after the rapid AI-driven repricing phase. Selloff unfolded in four waves, including profit-taking, multiple compression, macro repricing, and sector-wide AI narrative shock. Structural AI demand remains intact, driven by optical interconnect transition, 1.6T scaling, and hyperscaler infrastructure expansion cycles.

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | Rev Growth (1Y) | Net Margin | ROE | Div Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $698.91 | $49.9B | 1888.95 | 21.03% | 1.57% | 2.48% | — | |
| $314.13 | $49.81B | -604.10 | 23.42% | 10.59% | 6.94% | — | |
| $114.41 | $9.03B | -178.77 | 82.75% | -8.55% | -6.14% | — | |
| $96.60 | $4.1B | 132.33 | 2.73% | 2.78% | 1.37% | — | |
| $40.22 | $9.31B | 268.13 | 8.39% | -4.03% | -6.92% | — | |
| $418.91 | $59.3B | 492.84 | 18.79% | 7.87% | 15.65% | — |
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)
May 5, 2026·SEC
Apr 8, 2026·SEC
Mar 2, 2026·SEC
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Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) reported $2.49B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 223% increase from $769.9M in 2013.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) grew revenue by 21.0% over the past year. This is strong growth.
Yes, Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) is profitable, generating $439.9M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (1.6% net margin).
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 2.5%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) generated $398.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.