Luminar Technologies, Inc. (LAZR) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 9 analysts111.1% Below Target
LAZR trades 111.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $86.00.
Current Price$40.74
Average Target$86.00
Target
Current
Low$3.00
Median$18.00
High$315.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-253.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread362.8%
(Wide Disagreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes LAZR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
LAZR Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Luminar Technologies, Inc. (LAZR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $86.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $40.74, this represents a potential upside of +111.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $24.32B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $3.00 to a high of $315.00, representing a 363% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, LAZR trades at a trailing P/E of -6.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -253.0% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+293.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
36.7x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OUSTOuster, Inc. | $2.8B | $44.06 | $56.00 | +27.1% | Hold | — | 9 |
 INVZInnoviz Technologies Ltd. | $152M | $0.69 | $6.00 | +771.3% | Buy | — | 5 |
 AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc. | $1.4B | $21.57 | $8.74 | -59.5% | Buy | — | 8 |
 LIDRAEye, Inc. | $62M | $1.34 | $12.00 | +795.5% | Hold | — | 4 |
 MVISMicroVision, Inc. | $125M | $0.38 | $5.00 | +1223.1% | Buy | — | 8 |
 MBLYMobileye Global Inc. | $7.7B | $9.50 | $13.32 | +40.2% | Buy | 34.3x | 26 |
 APTVAptiv PLC | $12.5B | $58.85 | $88.63 | +50.6% | Buy | 9.5x | 33 |
 INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc. | $871M | $4.12 | $4.75 | +15.3% | Buy | — | 7 |
 CEVACEVA, Inc. | $1.2B | $42.76 | $45.40 | +6.2% | Buy | 80.9x | 25 |
 NVDANVIDIA Corporation | $4.8T | $196.93 | $316.79 | +60.9% | Buy | 21.9x | 79 |
LAZR — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LAZR stock.
What is the LAZR stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for LAZR is $86, representing 111.1% upside from the current price of $40.74. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is LAZR a buy, sell, or hold?
LAZR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $86 implies 111.1% upside from current levels.
Is LAZR stock overvalued or undervalued?
LAZR's current price is $40.74 with a consensus target of $86 (111.1% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
How high can LAZR stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $315 for LAZR, while the most conservative target is $3. The consensus of $86 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover LAZR stock?
LAZR is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the LAZR stock forecast?
The 12-month LAZR stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $86, with estimates ranging from $3 (bear case) to $315 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
Should I buy LAZR stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LAZR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $86 price target (111.1% upside). 4 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do LAZR price targets vary so much?
LAZR analyst price targets range from $3 to $315, a 363% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $86 consensus represents the middle ground.
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