HG trades 1.4% above Wall Street's consensus target of $34.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes HG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $34.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $34.47, this represents a potential downside of -1.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.44B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $33.00 to a high of $35.00, representing a 6% spread in expectations. The median target of $34.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, HG trades at a trailing P/E of 6.1x and forward P/E of 7.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -26.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $43.94, with bear and bull scenarios of $27.69 and $57.90 respectively. Model confidence stands at 54/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.9B | $323.11 | $310.75 | -3.8% | Hold | 7.9x | 28 |
ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $35.6B | $101.81 | $102.57 | +0.7% | Buy | 11.0x | 34 |
MKLMarkel Corporation | $24.8B | $1978.05 | $1950.00 | -1.4% | Hold | 18.5x | 15 |
GLREGreenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | $541M | $16.32 | — | — | Buy | 9.1x | 3 |
PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc. | $3.8B | $142.13 | $110.25 | -22.4% | Buy | 14.5x | 11 |
TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | $72.1B | $339.17 | $310.40 | -8.5% | Hold | 12.0x | 43 |
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation | $26.4B | $70.92 | $69.10 | -2.6% | Hold | 15.1x | 30 |
HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | $37.9B | $137.64 | $150.38 | +9.3% | Buy | 10.7x | 42 |
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited | $8.3B | $113.06 | $123.67 | +9.4% | Buy | 8.5x | 29 |
ORIOld Republic International Corporation | $10.1B | $41.57 | $42.00 | +1.0% | Hold | 13.1x | 5 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HG stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for HG is $34, -1.4% from its current price of $34.47. The below-market target from 9 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
HG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $34 implies -1.4% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.6026x, HG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $34 implies -1.4% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $35 for HG, while the most conservative target is $33. The consensus of $34 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $58 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
HG is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month HG stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $34, with estimates ranging from $33 (bear case) to $35 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $44, with bear/bull scenarios of $28/$58.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HG's fair value at $44 (base case), with a bear case of $28 and bull case of $58. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.
HG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 6.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on HG, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $34 (-1.4% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HG analyst price targets range from $33 to $35, a 6% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $34 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $28-$58 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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