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CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
$157.29$9.9B
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CFR logo

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 33 analysts

2.9% Above Target

CFR trades 2.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $152.67.

Current Price$157.29
Average Target$152.67
Target
Current
Low$141.00
Median$150.00
High$164.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E14.9x
(Value)
PEG Ratio1.04
(Fair)
Implied Growth+0.5%
(Low)
Analyst Spread15.1%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$157.29
Consensus$152.67
High$164.00
Low$141.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes CFR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 14.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 33 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 33 published analyst recommendations for CFR

67% hold / mixed conviction
-2
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 33 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage33 Analysts
Net Score-2
Bull / Bear15% / 18%
Strong Buy00%
Buy515%
Hold2267%
Sell618%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
515%
Hold
2267%
Sell
618%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix15% Buy · 67% Hold · 18% Sell
Buy (5)Hold (22)Sell (6)

CFR Price Target Analysis

Updated July 8, 2026

As of July 8, 2026, Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $152.67, based on estimates from 33 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $157.29, this represents a potential downside of -2.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.90B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $141.00 to a high of $164.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $150.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,22 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, CFR trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x and forward P/E of 14.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.04 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +0.5% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $171.53, with bear and bull scenarios of $108.06 and $226.00 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+7.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
BOKF logo
BOKFBOK Financial Corporation
$8.5B$140.43$132.00
-6.0%
Hold13.7x21
WTFC logo
WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation
$10.9B$161.45$174.57
+8.1%
Buy12.4x22
FHN logo
FHNFirst Horizon Corporation
$12.2B$25.76$28.05
+8.9%
Hold12.0x35
SNV logo
SNVSynovus Financial Corp.
$6.9B$50.05$54.77
+9.4%
Buy8.9x32
IBOC logo
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corporation
$4.7B$75.98$85.00
+11.9%
Buy11.7x1
TCBI logo
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
$4.6B$104.54$106.71
+2.1%
Hold13.7x39
HOMB logo
HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc.
$5.8B$28.66$31.50
+9.9%
Hold11.6x19
UMBF logo
UMBFUMB Financial Corporation
$11.1B$146.00$152.71
+4.6%
Buy11.3x18
CVBF logo
CVBFCVB Financial Corp.
$3.1B$22.58$26.00
+15.1%
Hold15.7x16
FFIN logo
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.
$5.0B$34.67$39.25
+13.2%
Hold17.0x15

CFR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CFR stock.

What is the CFR stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for CFR is $152.67, -2.9% from its current price of $157.29. The below-market target from 33 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is CFR a buy, sell, or hold?

CFR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 6 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $152.67 implies -2.9% downside from current levels.

Is CFR stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 14.8815x, CFR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $152.67 implies -2.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can CFR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $164 for CFR, while the most conservative target is $141. The consensus of $152.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $226 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover CFR stock?

CFR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 22 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the CFR stock forecast?

The 12-month CFR stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $152.67, with estimates ranging from $141 (bear case) to $164 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $172, with bear/bull scenarios of $108/$226.

What is CFR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates CFR's fair value at $172 (base case), with a bear case of $108 and bull case of $226. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

What is CFR's forward P/E ratio?

CFR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy CFR stock?

Analysts are cautious on CFR, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $152.67 (-2.9% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do CFR price targets vary so much?

CFR analyst price targets range from $141 to $164, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $152.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $108-$226 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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