BHRB trades 6.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $74.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BHRB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 8.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $74.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $69.76, this represents a potential upside of +6.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.05B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $74.00 to a high of $74.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $74.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BHRB trades at a trailing P/E of 9.0x and forward P/E of 8.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.46 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $80.14, with bear and bull scenarios of $50.49 and $105.59 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.6B | $49.63 | $56.00 | +12.8% | Hold | 11.9x | 10 |
FXNCFirst National Corporation | $265M | $29.30 | $21.00 | -28.3% | Buy | 12.4x | 1 |
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp, Inc. | $225M | $23.29 | — | — | Buy | 12.8x | 2 |
MNSBMainStreet Bancshares, Inc. | $171M | $24.05 | — | — | Hold | 10.6x | 1 |
NKSHNational Bankshares, Inc. | $231M | $36.20 | — | — | Buy | 11.2x | 4 |
CARECarter Bankshares, Inc. | $718M | $32.32 | $28.50 | -11.8% | Hold | 5.0x | 5 |
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | $22.0B | $42.60 | $62.88 | +47.6% | Buy | 6.8x | 37 |
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | $10.6B | $146.71 | $186.88 | +27.4% | Buy | 21.4x | 22 |
NTRSNorthern Trust Corporation | $33.6B | $181.39 | $161.83 | -10.8% | Hold | 16.5x | 35 |
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc. | $12.7B | $29.87 | $55.73 | +86.6% | Buy | 22.0x | 25 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BHRB stock.
The consensus price target for BHRB is $74, close to the current price of $69.76 (6.1% implied move). Based on 3 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
BHRB has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $74 implies 6.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 8.5832x, BHRB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $74 implies 6.1% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $74 for BHRB, while the most conservative target is $74. The consensus of $74 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $106 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BHRB is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BHRB stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $74, with estimates ranging from $74 (bear case) to $74 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $80, with bear/bull scenarios of $50/$106.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BHRB's fair value at $80 (base case), with a bear case of $50 and bull case of $106. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
BHRB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
BHRB appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $74 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BHRB analyst price targets range from $74 to $74, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $74 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $50-$106 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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