AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 4 analysts121.7% Below Target
ASLE trades 121.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $13.50.
Current Price$6.09
Average Target$13.50
Target
Current
Low$8.00
Median$13.50
High$19.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E22.6x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+7.5%
(Low)
Analyst Spread81.5%
(Wide Disagreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes ASLE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 22.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
ASLE Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, AerSale Corporation (ASLE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $13.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $6.09, this represents a potential upside of +121.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $288M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $8.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 81% spread in expectations. The median target of $13.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, ASLE trades at a trailing P/E of 33.8x and forward P/E of 22.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $11.46, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.22 and $15.10 respectively. Model confidence stands at 34/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+49.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
32.0x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ALAir Lease Corporation | $7.3B | $65.00 | $65.00 | +0.0% | Buy | 12.8x | 20 |
 FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd. | $23.3B | $227.55 | $332.80 | +46.3% | Buy | 32.4x | 18 |
 WLFCWillis Lease Finance Corporation | $1.7B | $221.88 | — | — | Buy | 15.6x | 1 |
 FLYXflyExclusive, Inc. | $147M | $1.82 | $7.00 | +284.6% | Hold | — | 1 |
 DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $12.1B | $45.47 | $53.33 | +17.3% | Buy | 35.2x | 9 |
 AVAVAeroVironment, Inc. | $8.2B | $162.53 | $222.78 | +37.1% | Buy | 49.4x | 28 |
 GEGE Aerospace | $383.4B | $366.98 | $393.00 | +7.1% | Buy | 48.6x | 34 |
 RTXRTX Corporation | $270.5B | $200.85 | $224.33 | +11.7% | Buy | 28.9x | 26 |
 BAThe Boeing Company | $182.6B | $231.68 | $281.56 | +21.5% | Buy | — | 54 |
 TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $73.2B | $1309.18 | $1569.30 | +19.9% | Buy | 32.7x | 39 |
ASLE — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ASLE stock.
What is the ASLE stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for ASLE is $13.5, representing 121.7% upside from the current price of $6.09. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is ASLE a buy, sell, or hold?
ASLE has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $13.5 implies 121.7% upside from current levels.
Is ASLE stock overvalued or undervalued?
ASLE trades at a forward P/E of 22.5556x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $13.5 (121.7% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can ASLE stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for ASLE, while the most conservative target is $8. The consensus of $13.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $15 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover ASLE stock?
ASLE is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the ASLE stock forecast?
The 12-month ASLE stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $13.5, with estimates ranging from $8 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$15.
What is ASLE's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ASLE's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $15. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 34/100.
What is ASLE's forward P/E ratio?
ASLE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 33.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy ASLE stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ASLE, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $13.5 price target (121.7% upside). 1 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do ASLE price targets vary so much?
ASLE analyst price targets range from $8 to $19, a 81% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $13.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$15 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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