Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 8 analysts6.4% Above Target
AGRO trades 6.4% above Wall Street's consensus target of $9.00.
Current Price$9.62
Average Target$9.00
Low$9.00
Median$9.00
High$9.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E5.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+9903.1%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AGRO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 5.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AGRO Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $9.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.62, this represents a potential downside of -6.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.43B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $9.00 to a high of $9.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $9.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, AGRO trades at a trailing P/E of -586.6x and forward P/E of 5.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +9903.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $4.15, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.61 and $5.47 respectively. Model confidence stands at 35/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+13.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
13.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CRESYCresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria | $689M | $10.62 | $12.68 | +19.4% | Buy | 0.1x | 1 |
 CAAPCorporación América Airports S.A. | $4.1B | $25.10 | $31.00 | +23.5% | Buy | 12.9x | 6 |
 LNDBrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas | $353M | $3.54 | — | — | — | — | — |
 TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $20.9B | $58.82 | $73.00 | +24.1% | Buy | 14.6x | 30 |
 ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company | $37.7B | $78.20 | $75.25 | -3.8% | Hold | 16.8x | 36 |
 BGBunge Global S.A. | $21.5B | $110.91 | $133.67 | +20.5% | Buy | 11.8x | 25 |
 INGRIngredion Incorporated | $6.2B | $98.57 | $117.00 | +18.7% | Hold | 9.1x | 21 |
 DEDeere & Company | $162.9B | $603.61 | $691.58 | +14.6% | Hold | 33.4x | 46 |
 AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.2B | $113.75 | $125.50 | +10.3% | Buy | 19.0x | 29 |
 CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc. | $17.7B | $114.92 | $112.50 | -2.1% | Buy | 6.7x | 41 |
AGRO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AGRO stock.
What is the AGRO stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for AGRO is $9, -6.4% from its current price of $9.62. The below-market target from 8 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is AGRO a buy, sell, or hold?
AGRO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $9 implies -6.4% downside from current levels.
Is AGRO stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 5.0351x, AGRO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $9 implies -6.4% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can AGRO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $9 for AGRO, while the most conservative target is $9. The consensus of $9 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $5 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AGRO stock?
AGRO is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AGRO stock forecast?
The 12-month AGRO stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $9, with estimates ranging from $9 (bear case) to $9 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $4, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$5.
What is AGRO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGRO's fair value at $4 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $5. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 35/100.
What is AGRO's forward P/E ratio?
AGRO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AGRO stock?
Analysts are cautious on AGRO, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $9 (-6.4% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AGRO price targets vary so much?
AGRO analyst price targets range from $9 to $9, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $9 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$5 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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