Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 5 analysts16.3% Below Target
AGM trades 16.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $233.00.
Current Price$200.27
Average Target$233.00
Low$233.00
Median$233.00
High$233.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E10.3x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.68
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+20.3%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AGM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AGM Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $233.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $200.27, this represents a potential upside of +16.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.18B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $233.00 to a high of $233.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $233.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AGM trades at a trailing P/E of 12.0x and forward P/E of 10.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.68 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +20.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $202.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $127.77 and $267.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+37.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.2x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AGNCAGNC Investment Corp. | $12.8B | $11.12 | $11.25 | +1.2% | Hold | 7.1x | 35 |
 NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. | $16.6B | $22.69 | $24.33 | +7.2% | Buy | 7.6x | 28 |
 RITMRithm Capital Corp. | $5.1B | $9.22 | $13.50 | +46.4% | Buy | 4.1x | 19 |
 PMTPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $922M | $10.60 | $11.75 | +10.8% | Hold | 8.8x | 26 |
 RCReady Capital Corporation | $278M | $1.68 | $5.00 | +197.6% | Buy | — | 16 |
 HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. | $4.8B | $37.65 | $47.43 | +26.0% | Buy | 12.6x | 18 |
 LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.3B | $9.85 | $13.00 | +32.0% | Buy | 9.9x | 17 |
 DEDeere & Company | $162.9B | $603.61 | $691.58 | +14.6% | Hold | 33.4x | 46 |
 AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.2B | $113.75 | $125.50 | +10.3% | Buy | 19.0x | 29 |
 CNHCNH Industrial N.V. | $12.9B | $10.43 | $13.39 | +28.4% | Buy | 25.7x | 14 |
AGM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AGM stock.
What is the AGM stock price target for 2026?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $233, implying 16.3% upside from $200.27. The 5 analysts covering AGM see moderate appreciation potential.
Is AGM a buy, sell, or hold?
AGM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $233 implies 16.3% upside from current levels.
Is AGM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 10.2597x, AGM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $233 implies 16.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can AGM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $233 for AGM, while the most conservative target is $233. The consensus of $233 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $267 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AGM stock?
AGM is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AGM stock forecast?
The 12-month AGM stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $233, with estimates ranging from $233 (bear case) to $233 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $203, with bear/bull scenarios of $128/$267.
What is AGM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGM's fair value at $203 (base case), with a bear case of $128 and bull case of $267. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is AGM's forward P/E ratio?
AGM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AGM stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on AGM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $233 price target (16.3% upside). 4 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AGM price targets vary so much?
AGM analyst price targets range from $233 to $233, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $233 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $128-$267 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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