AFYA trades 6.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $16.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AFYA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 6, 2026, Afya Limited (AFYA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $16.33, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.27, this represents a potential upside of +6.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $16.00 to a high of $17.00, representing a 6% spread in expectations. The median target of $16.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, AFYA trades at a trailing P/E of 9.8x and forward P/E of 1.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.08 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $75.80, with bear and bull scenarios of $47.75 and $99.87 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation | $2.2B | $34.43 | $44.00 | +27.8% | Hold | 11.8x | 9 |
LAURLaureate Education, Inc. | $5.5B | $38.20 | $39.00 | +2.1% | Buy | 17.9x | 11 |
STRAStrategic Education, Inc. | $1.8B | $79.19 | $87.00 | +9.9% | Buy | 11.0x | 18 |
GHCGraham Holdings Company | $5.1B | $1183.27 | — | — | — | 17.1x | — |
LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc. | $4.1B | $152.65 | $100.00 | -34.5% | Buy | 15.2x | 18 |
APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc. | $1.0B | $56.72 | $57.86 | +2.0% | Hold | 22.3x | 19 |
UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc. | $2.7B | $48.24 | $44.75 | -7.2% | Buy | 62.4x | 11 |
COURCoursera, Inc. | $999M | $5.90 | $7.79 | +32.0% | Buy | 10.7x | 17 |
NUVLNuvalent, Inc. | $9.1B | $123.73 | $127.32 | +2.9% | Hold | — | 19 |
HIMSHims & Hers Health, Inc. | $8.1B | $36.80 | $28.69 | -22.0% | Hold | — | 20 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AFYA stock.
The consensus price target for AFYA is $16.33, close to the current price of $15.27 (6.9% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
AFYA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $16.33 implies 6.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 1.6968x, AFYA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $16.33 implies 6.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $17 for AFYA, while the most conservative target is $16. The consensus of $16.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $100 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AFYA is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AFYA stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16.33, with estimates ranging from $16 (bear case) to $17 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $76, with bear/bull scenarios of $48/$100.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AFYA's fair value at $76 (base case), with a bear case of $48 and bull case of $100. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
AFYA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
AFYA appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $16.33 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AFYA analyst price targets range from $16 to $17, a 6% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $48-$100 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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