Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 18 analysts34.6% Above Target
LOPE trades 34.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $100.00.
Current Price$152.96
Average Target$100.00
Low$100.00
Median$100.00
High$100.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E15.2x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio2.11
(Pricey)
Implied Growth+23.1%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes LOPE achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 18 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
LOPE Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $100.00, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $152.96, this represents a potential downside of -34.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.15B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $100.00 to a high of $100.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $100.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 17 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, LOPE trades at a trailing P/E of 19.8x and forward P/E of 15.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.11 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +23.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $183.37, with bear and bull scenarios of $115.52 and $241.60 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+320.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
27.4x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 STRAStrategic Education, Inc. | $1.8B | $79.19 | $87.00 | +9.9% | Buy | 11.0x | 18 |
 PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation | $2.2B | $35.16 | $44.00 | +25.1% | Hold | 12.0x | 9 |
 UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc. | $2.8B | $51.20 | $44.75 | -12.6% | Buy | 66.2x | 11 |
 LINCLincoln Educational Services Corporation | $1.8B | $55.68 | $53.80 | -3.4% | Buy | 71.2x | 15 |
 COURCoursera, Inc. | $982M | $5.80 | $7.79 | +34.3% | Buy | 10.5x | 17 |
 LAURLaureate Education, Inc. | $5.7B | $39.86 | $39.00 | -2.2% | Buy | 18.7x | 11 |
 APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc. | $1.1B | $59.34 | $57.86 | -2.5% | Hold | 23.3x | 19 |
 HCIHCI Group, Inc. | $2.3B | $180.41 | $126.50 | -29.9% | Buy | 10.4x | 14 |
 CHGGChegg, Inc. | $105M | $0.94 | $30.42 | +3140.3% | Hold | — | 22 |
 MSFTMicrosoft Corporation | $2.9T | $388.84 | $551.33 | +41.8% | Buy | 23.1x | 82 |
LOPE — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LOPE stock.
What is the LOPE stock price target for 2026?
LOPE's consensus price target is $100, -34.6% below the current price of $152.96. The 18 analysts tracking LOPE see downside risk at present valuations.
Is LOPE a buy, sell, or hold?
LOPE has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 17 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $100 implies -34.6% downside from current levels.
Is LOPE stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 15.1847x, LOPE trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $100 implies -34.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can LOPE stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $100 for LOPE, while the most conservative target is $100. The consensus of $100 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $242 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover LOPE stock?
LOPE is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the LOPE stock forecast?
The 12-month LOPE stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $100 (bear case) to $100 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $183, with bear/bull scenarios of $116/$242.
What is LOPE's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LOPE's fair value at $183 (base case), with a bear case of $116 and bull case of $242. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
What is LOPE's forward P/E ratio?
LOPE trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy LOPE stock?
Analysts are cautious on LOPE, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $100 (-34.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do LOPE price targets vary so much?
LOPE analyst price targets range from $100 to $100, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $100 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $116-$242 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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