Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI)
Valuation Overview•Is Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Moderate quality score of 55/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
KGEI demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (6.1% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 45.9% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.6M | -22.4% | +6.1% | +43.3% | — | |
| EBITDA | $14.7M | — | +12.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $4.0M | -13.1% | -1.8% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.11 | -15.7% | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $9.2M | -383.1% | -12.8% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 58.3% | 48.6% | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Operating Margin | 45.9% | 38.6% | 37.9% | 28.4% |
| Net Margin | 21.7% | 27.1% | 97.4% | -36.9% |
| FCF Margin | -22.8% | -16.6% | -10.3% | -7.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.17 | $0.19 | +11.8% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.12 | $0.09 | -25.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.13 | $0.11 | -15.4% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.08 | $0.08 | +0.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.13 | $0.16 | +23.1% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.14 | $0.16 | +14.3% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.09 | $0.11 | +22.2% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.11 | $0.11 | +0.0% |
Total return is -22.1% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -52.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +24.2% | +9.3% | — |
| 1Y | -22.1% | -52.0% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +6.6% | -9.8% | — |
| 5YCAGR | +3.9% | -5.9% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +1.9% | -10.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.4x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. appears Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $3.78. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 55/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 0.8 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 7.5%.
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 1.1% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by +2.2% in the last 12 months.
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -22.4% 1Y revenue growth and -15.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +6.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 1 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 58% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Kolibri Global Energy Inc. include: -50.2% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of -0.30x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.