T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 38 analysts13.9% Above Target
TROW trades 13.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $103.40.
Current Price$120.16
Average Target$103.40
Target
Current
Low$89.00
Median$109.00
High$111.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E12.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+3.3%
(Low)
Analyst Spread21.3%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes TROW achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 12.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 38 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
TROW Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $103.40, based on estimates from 38 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $120.16, this represents a potential downside of -13.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $26.15B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $89.00 to a high of $111.00, representing a 21% spread in expectations. The median target of $109.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,24 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, TROW trades at a trailing P/E of 13.0x and forward P/E of 12.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $116.71, with bear and bull scenarios of $73.53 and $153.78 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+10.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.4x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BENFranklin Resources, Inc. | $17.9B | $34.36 | $32.75 | -4.7% | Hold | 12.4x | 27 |
 IVZInvesco Ltd. | $12.2B | $27.40 | $30.06 | +9.7% | Hold | 10.4x | 28 |
 AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. | $9.5B | $359.72 | $402.50 | +11.9% | Buy | 10.2x | 12 |
 VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc. | $1.0B | $155.15 | $138.00 | -11.1% | Hold | 6.3x | 11 |
 BLKBlackRock, Inc. | $156.5B | $1009.43 | $1306.25 | +29.4% | Buy | 18.8x | 33 |
 STTState Street Corporation | $47.0B | $169.67 | $166.73 | -1.7% | Buy | 13.3x | 37 |
 APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc. | $2.6B | $36.03 | $41.00 | +13.8% | Hold | 9.4x | 15 |
 VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc. | $5.7B | $89.48 | $88.75 | -0.8% | Buy | 12.3x | 13 |
 MORNMorningstar, Inc. | $6.5B | $170.96 | $234.00 | +36.9% | Hold | 14.3x | 6 |
 SCHWThe Charles Schwab Corporation | $177.3B | $101.93 | $121.89 | +19.6% | Buy | 16.5x | 50 |
TROW — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TROW stock.
What is the TROW stock price target for 2026?
TROW's consensus price target is $103.4, -13.9% below the current price of $120.16. The 38 analysts tracking TROW see downside risk at present valuations.
Is TROW a buy, sell, or hold?
TROW has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 38 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 24 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $103.4 implies -13.9% downside from current levels.
Is TROW stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.4108x, TROW trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $103.4 implies -13.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can TROW stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $111 for TROW, while the most conservative target is $89. The consensus of $103.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $154 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TROW stock?
TROW is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 38 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 24 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TROW stock forecast?
The 12-month TROW stock forecast based on 38 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $103.4, with estimates ranging from $89 (bear case) to $111 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $117, with bear/bull scenarios of $74/$154.
What is TROW's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TROW's fair value at $117 (base case), with a bear case of $74 and bull case of $154. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
What is TROW's forward P/E ratio?
TROW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TROW stock?
Analysts are cautious on TROW, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $103.4 (-13.9% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TROW price targets vary so much?
TROW analyst price targets range from $89 to $111, a 21% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $103.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $74-$154 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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