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TCOMTrip.com Group Limited
$41.08$25.9B
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TCOM logo

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 43 analysts

45.5% Below Target

TCOM trades 45.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $59.77.

Current Price$41.08
Average Target$59.77
Target
Current
Low$44.30
Median$60.00
High$75.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E1.7x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-48.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread51.4%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$41.08
Consensus$59.77
High$75.00
Low$44.30

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes TCOM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 43 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 43 published analyst recommendations for TCOM

30/43 analysts are bullish
+33
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 43 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage43 Analysts
Net Score+33
Bull / Bear70% / 5%
Strong Buy00%
Buy3070%
Hold1126%
Sell25%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
3070%
Hold
1126%
Sell
25%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix70% Buy · 26% Hold · 5% Sell
Buy (30)Hold (11)Sell (2)

TCOM Price Target Analysis

Updated July 8, 2026

As of July 8, 2026, Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $59.77, based on estimates from 43 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $41.08, this represents a potential upside of +45.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $25.87B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $44.30 to a high of $75.00, representing a 51% spread in expectations. The median target of $60.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 30 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, TCOM trades at a trailing P/E of 6.0x and forward P/E of 1.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -48.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $259.20, with bear and bull scenarios of $163.30 and $341.53 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+4.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
37.5x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
BKNG logo
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.
$141.0B$181.95$230.65
+26.8%
Buy17.4x71
EXPE logo
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.
$31.6B$269.87$270.38
+0.2%
Hold13.7x75
ABNB logo
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.
$88.3B$148.80$155.13
+4.3%
Buy29.0x45
TRIP logo
TRIPTripadvisor, Inc.
$1.6B$13.72$14.10
+2.8%
Hold10.3x56
MMYT logo
MMYTMakeMyTrip Limited
$5.6B$58.70$77.00
+31.2%
Buy134.4x11
TRVG logo
TRVGtrivago N.V.
$371M$5.26$3.40
-35.4%
Hold91.6x19
TZOO logo
TZOOTravelzoo
$125M$11.42$10.00
-12.4%
Buy16.7x5
UAL logo
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.
$41.6B$128.31$150.20
+17.1%
Buy13.5x47
DAL logo
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.
$58.2B$88.63$96.20
+8.5%
Buy15.8x44
MAR logo
MARMarriott International, Inc.
$100.4B$380.75$393.07
+3.2%
Hold32.8x52

TCOM — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TCOM stock.

What is the TCOM stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for TCOM is $59.77, representing 45.5% upside from the current price of $41.08. With 43 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is TCOM a buy, sell, or hold?

TCOM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 43 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 30 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $59.77 implies 45.5% upside from current levels.

Is TCOM stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 1.6675x, TCOM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $59.77 implies 45.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can TCOM stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $75 for TCOM, while the most conservative target is $44.3. The consensus of $59.77 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $342 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TCOM stock?

TCOM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 43 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 30 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TCOM stock forecast?

The 12-month TCOM stock forecast based on 43 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $59.77, with estimates ranging from $44.3 (bear case) to $75 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $259, with bear/bull scenarios of $163/$342.

What is TCOM's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TCOM's fair value at $259 (base case), with a bear case of $163 and bull case of $342. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.

What is TCOM's forward P/E ratio?

TCOM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 6.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TCOM stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TCOM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $59.77 price target (45.5% upside). 30 of 43 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TCOM price targets vary so much?

TCOM analyst price targets range from $44.3 to $75, a 51% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $59.77 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $163-$342 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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