SMBK trades 7.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $50.67.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SMBK achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 12.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, SmartFinancial, Inc. (SMBK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $50.67, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $47.08, this represents a potential upside of +7.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $805M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $48.00 to a high of $54.00, representing a 12% spread in expectations. The median target of $50.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SMBK trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and forward P/E of 12.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.99 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $56.64, with bear and bull scenarios of $35.68 and $74.63 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. | $4.8B | $87.80 | $91.00 | +3.6% | Buy | 13.7x | 6 |
HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.8B | $28.74 | $31.50 | +9.6% | Hold | 11.6x | 19 |
SRCE1st Source Corporation | $2.0B | $82.35 | $81.00 | -1.6% | Hold | 12.1x | 4 |
CADECadence Bank | $7.8B | $42.11 | $39.75 | -5.6% | Hold | 12.1x | 20 |
HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc. | $1.7B | $13.53 | $14.50 | +7.2% | Hold | 12.2x | 6 |
BANFBancFirst Corporation | $3.8B | $114.30 | $125.00 | +9.4% | Hold | 15.6x | 3 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $34.75 | $39.25 | +12.9% | Hold | 17.1x | 15 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.6B | $50.16 | $56.00 | +11.6% | Hold | 12.0x | 10 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $740M | $35.90 | $38.00 | +5.8% | Hold | 10.1x | 7 |
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | $3.2B | $33.18 | $34.00 | +2.5% | Hold | 13.2x | 16 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SMBK stock.
The consensus price target for SMBK is $50.67, close to the current price of $47.08 (7.6% implied move). Based on 9 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
SMBK has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $50.67 implies 7.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 12.8634x, SMBK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $50.67 implies 7.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $54 for SMBK, while the most conservative target is $48. The consensus of $50.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $75 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SMBK is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SMBK stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $50.67, with estimates ranging from $48 (bear case) to $54 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $57, with bear/bull scenarios of $36/$75.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SMBK's fair value at $57 (base case), with a bear case of $36 and bull case of $75. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
SMBK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
SMBK appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $50.67 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SMBK analyst price targets range from $48 to $54, a 12% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $50.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $36-$75 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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