Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 31 analysts7.9% Above Target
SIMO trades 7.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $293.75.
Current Price$318.86
Average Target$293.75
Target
Current
Low$250.00
Median$262.50
High$400.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E36.2x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio0.80
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth-56.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread51.1%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes SIMO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 36.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 31 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
SIMO Price Target Analysis
Updated July 7, 2026As of July 7, 2026, Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (SIMO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $293.75, based on estimates from 31 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $318.86, this represents a potential downside of -7.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.70B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $250.00 to a high of $400.00, representing a 51% spread in expectations. The median target of $262.50 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 25 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, SIMO trades at a trailing P/E of 21.8x and forward P/E of 36.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -56.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $370.10, with bear and bull scenarios of $233.16 and $487.64 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+19.7%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
50.5x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
8 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. | $218.1B | $249.27 | $250.58 | +0.5% | Buy | 61.5x | 73 |
 MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $66.1B | $1346.13 | $1615.00 | +20.0% | Buy | 56.1x | 25 |
 MAXNMaxeon Solar Technologies, Ltd. | $13M | $0.76 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PHIOPhio Pharmaceuticals Corp. | $12M | $0.99 | — | — | — | — | — |
 AMBAAmbarella, Inc. | $3.5B | $79.73 | $103.50 | +29.8% | Buy | 100.9x | 36 |
 IDCCInterDigital, Inc. | $7.3B | $282.89 | $450.00 | +59.1% | Buy | 39.3x | 16 |
 MUMicron Technology, Inc. | $1.1T | $984.75 | $1518.26 | +54.2% | Buy | 13.5x | 70 |
 WDCWestern Digital Corporation | $195.8B | $577.46 | $533.33 | -7.6% | Buy | 57.8x | 61 |
 STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc | $199.6B | $915.19 | $831.00 | -9.2% | Buy | 61.4x | 52 |
 SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc. | $9.9B | $65.93 | $73.10 | +10.9% | Buy | 13.2x | 60 |
SIMO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SIMO stock.
What is the SIMO stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for SIMO is $293.75, -7.9% from its current price of $318.86. The below-market target from 31 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is SIMO a buy, sell, or hold?
SIMO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 31 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 25 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $293.75 implies -7.9% downside from current levels.
Is SIMO stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 36.1589x, SIMO trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $293.75 (-7.9% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can SIMO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $400 for SIMO, while the most conservative target is $250. The consensus of $293.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $488 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SIMO stock?
SIMO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 31 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SIMO stock forecast?
The 12-month SIMO stock forecast based on 31 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $293.75, with estimates ranging from $250 (bear case) to $400 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $370, with bear/bull scenarios of $233/$488.
What is SIMO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SIMO's fair value at $370 (base case), with a bear case of $233 and bull case of $488. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is SIMO's forward P/E ratio?
SIMO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SIMO stock?
Analysts are cautious on SIMO, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $293.75 (-7.9% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SIMO price targets vary so much?
SIMO analyst price targets range from $250 to $400, a 51% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $293.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $233-$488 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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