Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 4 analysts27.8% Below Target
SFD trades 27.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $32.00.
Current Price$25.03
Average Target$32.00
Low$32.00
Median$32.00
High$32.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+4.0%
(Low)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes SFD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
SFD Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $32.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $25.03, this represents a potential upside of +27.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.84B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $32.00 to a high of $32.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $32.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, SFD trades at a trailing P/E of 10.0x and forward P/E of 9.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.48, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.57 and $38.84 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+13.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
13.3x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $20.9B | $58.82 | $73.00 | +24.1% | Buy | 14.6x | 30 |
 HRLHormel Foods Corporation | $13.6B | $24.70 | $23.50 | -4.9% | Hold | 16.6x | 29 |
 WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $6.1B | $81.60 | $97.50 | +19.5% | Buy | 17.0x | 22 |
 PPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation | $6.8B | $28.77 | $37.33 | +29.8% | Hold | 8.7x | 21 |
 CAGConagra Brands, Inc. | $6.7B | $14.04 | $14.00 | -0.2% | Hold | 8.3x | 25 |
 JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | $1.0B | $88.31 | — | — | Buy | 13.5x | 2 |
 ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company | $37.7B | $78.20 | $75.25 | -3.8% | Hold | 16.8x | 36 |
 BGBunge Global S.A. | $21.5B | $110.91 | $133.67 | +20.5% | Buy | 11.8x | 25 |
 INGRIngredion Incorporated | $6.2B | $98.57 | $117.00 | +18.7% | Hold | 9.1x | 21 |
 MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | $14.0B | $52.22 | $61.40 | +17.6% | Hold | 16.9x | 30 |
SFD — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SFD stock.
What is the SFD stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for SFD is $32, representing 27.8% upside from the current price of $25.03. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is SFD a buy, sell, or hold?
SFD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $32 implies 27.8% upside from current levels.
Is SFD stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.4236x, SFD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $32 implies 27.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can SFD stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $32 for SFD, while the most conservative target is $32. The consensus of $32 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SFD stock?
SFD is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SFD stock forecast?
The 12-month SFD stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $32 (bear case) to $32 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$39.
What is SFD's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SFD's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
What is SFD's forward P/E ratio?
SFD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 10.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SFD stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SFD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $32 price target (27.8% upside). 4 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SFD price targets vary so much?
SFD analyst price targets range from $32 to $32, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $32 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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