Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 25 analysts2.9% Below Target
PFGC trades 2.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $118.80.
Current Price$115.50
Average Target$118.80
Target
Current
Low$108.00
Median$123.00
High$125.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E25.1x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+120.0%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread14.3%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes PFGC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 25.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 25 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
PFGC Price Target Analysis
Updated July 8, 2026As of July 8, 2026, Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $118.80, based on estimates from 25 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $115.50, this represents a potential upside of +2.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $18.14B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $108.00 to a high of $125.00, representing a 14% spread in expectations. The median target of $123.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 23 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, PFGC trades at a trailing P/E of 53.0x and forward P/E of 25.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +120.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $139.54, with bear and bull scenarios of $87.91 and $183.85 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+6.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
20.6x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SYYSysco Corporation | $40.0B | $83.53 | $90.44 | +8.3% | Buy | 18.2x | 30 |
 USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. | $22.9B | $103.99 | $106.11 | +2.0% | Buy | 22.0x | 25 |
 CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. | $4.0B | $98.21 | $83.33 | -15.2% | Buy | 43.9x | 15 |
 UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc. | $2.9B | $47.25 | $46.60 | -1.4% | Hold | 18.6x | 43 |
 CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. | $29.7B | $801.99 | $927.31 | +15.6% | Buy | 37.7x | 26 |
 TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $20.9B | $58.82 | $73.00 | +24.1% | Buy | 14.6x | 30 |
 HRLHormel Foods Corporation | $13.6B | $24.70 | $23.50 | -4.9% | Hold | 16.6x | 29 |
 CAGConagra Brands, Inc. | $6.7B | $14.04 | $14.00 | -0.2% | Hold | 8.3x | 25 |
 MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | $14.0B | $52.22 | $61.40 | +17.6% | Hold | 16.9x | 30 |
 INGRIngredion Incorporated | $6.2B | $98.57 | $117.00 | +18.7% | Hold | 9.1x | 21 |
PFGC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PFGC stock.
What is the PFGC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for PFGC is $118.8, close to the current price of $115.5 (2.9% implied move). Based on 25 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is PFGC a buy, sell, or hold?
PFGC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 23 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $118.8 implies 2.9% upside from current levels.
Is PFGC stock overvalued or undervalued?
PFGC trades at a forward P/E of 25.0542x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $118.8 (2.9% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can PFGC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $125 for PFGC, while the most conservative target is $108. The consensus of $118.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $184 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover PFGC stock?
PFGC is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the PFGC stock forecast?
The 12-month PFGC stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $118.8, with estimates ranging from $108 (bear case) to $125 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $140, with bear/bull scenarios of $88/$184.
What is PFGC's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates PFGC's fair value at $140 (base case), with a bear case of $88 and bull case of $184. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
What is PFGC's forward P/E ratio?
PFGC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 53.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy PFGC stock?
PFGC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $118.8 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do PFGC price targets vary so much?
PFGC analyst price targets range from $108 to $125, a 14% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $118.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $88-$184 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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