16.4% Above Target

OGN's consensus price target is $11.33, -16.4% below the current price of $13.56. The 9 analysts tracking OGN see downside risk at present valuations.

OGN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $11.33 implies -16.4% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 4.0018x, OGN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11.33 implies -16.4% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for OGN, while the most conservative target is $8. The consensus of $11.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $53 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

OGN is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month OGN stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11.33, with estimates ranging from $8 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $40, with bear/bull scenarios of $25/$53.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates OGN's fair value at $40 (base case), with a bear case of $25 and bull case of $53. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 38/100.

OGN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on OGN, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $11.33 (-16.4% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

OGN analyst price targets range from $8 to $14, a 53% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $25-$53 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.